Godoy Cruz vs Aldosivi

Godoy Cruz host Aldosivi for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 13 battle at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas in Mendoza early Friday morning Beijing time. This league is of pretty good level by global standards. Similarly to many other South American leagues, for example Brazilian Serie A, this is on average a low-scoring league. In this match the number of expected goals is a little higher than normally but definitely lower than the betting market seems to estimate! Few goals is of course a positive thing for recommended bet +1.5 goals handicap on Aldosivi. It is surely a very lucrative smart bet here with a 65% chance of winning. We will win as soon as the visitors avoid losing by more than one goals difference. Godoy Cruz do have talented offensive players, but their offensive football has been very rusty lately. It lacks tempo and creativity. Indeed, they have scored just two goals in their most recent four matches. In terms of expected goals they would have deserved a bit more though.. They currently occupy the 9th place in this league with a total of 28 teams and have grabbed 18 points so far but have scored just 13 goals. Indeed, they rarely win by a big margin – even at home.

The hosts are of course the better team here by raw class and are clear favorites but a draw would not surprise me too much here. They are also bigger by financial resources and players’ total market value according to the well-known and respected German website, Transdermarkt.com. Indeed, their squad’s total market value is around 24 million euros with in my opinion slightly too much. Aldosivi’s, on the other hand, are a much smaller club by this number but perform better on the pitch than the total market value or list of players would indicate – as I have mentioned before. They do not get too much media attention and have no true starts in the team. These things affect the odds offered in the betting market. Let’s also not forget that they played well in Copa de la Liga Profesional, a competition that was played before this league started and finished in 4th place in Group B! They have struggled so far in Liga Profesional though, especially result-wise, and are the second-last team in the standings. They are surely better than that though as expected points statistic suggest and will probably climb up the standings. Even so, they did beat Lanus on the 31st of July 1-0 away from home after a good performance and have lost just one of their latest seven matches in this league by more than one goal’s difference! Their defense is pretty okay and their coach will surely choose a cautious strategy here.. They would probably be satisfied with a draw. Moreover, the hosts have failed to win any of their latest four matches – losing two of these and would need to improve to take a clear victory.