WINNING streak continues?
2022-08-10

Tapio

外籍分析师

巴西乙

08/10 08:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Londrina VS Cruzeiro


Londrina host Cruzeiro for this Brazilian Serie B round 23 clash at Estádio Estádio do Café Wednesday morning Beijing time. This the second tier of Brazilian football and is of quite good quality overall and does offer decent entertainment for football fans. The level of first tier, Serie A, is much higher though. Quite a few football fans and even bettors perhaps think of amazing goals, offensive football and legendary strikers like Pele and Ronaldo when they hear the words Brazilian football but similarly to many other South American leagues, especially Argentinian Liga Profesional and Colombian Primera A, Serie B is a low-scoring league. Here the odds on a draw are lower than on average in Serie B matches, but I expect an even more low-scoring clash than bookies do. Indeed, just one of Londrina’s most recent six games have gone past the 2.5 totals line. Cruzeiro’s games have been low-scoring too - four of the recent matches have had a maximum of two goals. The recommended bet +0.5 goals handicap has a 73% chance of bringing my fans me yet another winner betting on this league!

By raw class Cruzeiro are definitely the better team but the margin is not that big after all. Cruzeiro have grabbed 49 points so far and top the standings. As a whole they have been better than I would have expected this season but are once again over-valued here. In terms of expected points and goals they have been lucky this season. Both of these are statistic commonly used by professional football bettors to identify over – or under-valued teams.. They were terrific in their most recent match beating Tombense 2-0 at home after very clear domination. This performance got a lot of media attention and seems to heavily affect the odds here.. Before this they were in quite a lot of trouble in Brusque as the hosts recorded 15 scoring attempts – Cruzeiro had just five. It was pretty entertaining and high-level match for a goalless draw. However, Cruzeiro cannot be happy about their performance as Brusque are currently in 14th place and the visitors were the favorites on the betting market. Especially their offensive game was too slow and lacked creativity – it was even lazy at times. The hosts, on the other hand, are in fine form and are undefeated in their latest six matches. Moreover, at home their record is amazingly good – they have lost just one of their 14 matches at their stadium winning most of these! In their most recent match they played very disciplined, quite defensive football and beat a dangerous time, Novorizontino, 1-0 away from home as big underdogs in the betting market. They created respectable 17 scoring attempts in this clash. Londrina also have a better situation in terms of players available as Cruzeiro's Gabriel Brazao has a nasty knee injury and will miss to today’s match. Jaja, Joao Paulo, Rafael Silva and Willian are out too. The hosts will miss Samuel Santos.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周三上午,在Estádio Estádio do Café球场,伦德里纳主场迎战克鲁塞罗。这是巴西足球的第二级,整体质量相当好,为球迷提供了体面的娱乐。不过,甲级联赛的水平要高得多。当听到巴西足球这个词时,相当多的球迷甚至赌徒可能会想到令人惊叹的进球、进攻足球和传奇前锋贝利和罗纳尔多,但与许多其他南美联赛类似,特别是阿根廷职业足球联赛和哥伦比亚甲级联赛,意乙是一个低得分联赛。在这里,平局的赔率比意甲乙级比赛的平均赔率要低,但我比博彩公司更期待一场得分更低的冲突。事实上,在伦德里娜最近的六场比赛中,只有一场的总得分超过了2.5。克鲁塞罗的比赛得分也很低——最近的四场比赛最多进了两个球。推荐的赌+0.5个进球差点有73%的机会让我的球迷我又一个赢家打赌这个联赛!

克鲁塞罗绝对是一支更好的球队,但差距毕竟没有那么大。克鲁塞罗目前已经拿到了49分,排名第一。总的来说,他们本赛季的表现比我预期的要好,但他们的身价再次被高估了。就预期积分和进球数而言,他们本赛季很幸运。这两项数据都是职业足球打赌者常用来确定高估或低估球队的数据。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场2-0击败了汤本斯,取得了非常明显的优势。这场表演得到了很多媒体的关注,似乎严重影响了这里的赔率。在此之前,他们在布鲁斯克遇到了很多麻烦,东道主有15次射门得分,而克鲁塞罗只有5次。这是一场非常有趣和高水平的比赛。然而,克鲁塞罗不能对他们的表现感到高兴,因为布朗斯克目前排在第14位,客队是博彩市场上的热门球队。尤其是他们的进攻速度太慢,缺乏创造力——有时甚至很懒惰。另一方面,东道主状态良好,在最近的六场比赛中保持不败。此外,他们在主场的战绩令人惊讶的好——他们在主场的14场比赛中只输了一场,大多数比赛都赢了!在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们踢得非常有纪律,非常有防守,并击败了一个危险的时刻,Novorizontino,客场1-0,在博彩市场上处于劣势。他们在这场比赛中创造了17次得分机会。隆德里纳在可用球员方面也有更好的情况,克鲁塞罗的加布里埃尔·布拉索膝盖受伤,将缺席今天的比赛。贾亚、若昂·保罗、拉斐尔·席尔瓦和威廉也缺席了。东道主将怀念塞缪尔·桑托斯。

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