Ponte Preta VS Vasco da Gama

Ponte Preta host Vasco da Gama for this Brazilian Serie B round 23 clash at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli Campinas Wednesday morning Beijing time. This the second level Brazilian football and is of pretty good quality overall and does offer decent entertainment for football lovers. The level of first tier, Serie A, is a lot higher though. Many football fans and bettors perhaps think of beautiful goals and amazing strikers like Pele and Ronaldo when they hear the words Brazilian football but similarly to some other South American leagues, especially Argentinian Liga Profesional, Serie B is, in reality, a low-scoring one. Here the odds on a draw are much lower than usually in Serie B matches, but I see this as an even more low-scoring clash than the betting market does! The recommended bet with the +0.5 goals handicap option has a 73% chance of winning. The main rationale behind the low goal expectancy is Vasco da Gama’s very solid defense. Indeed, they have allowed just 12 goals so far and have scored a respectable 23 goals. They have had a few somewhat disappointing matches defense-wise but in most games, they have had a very good defensive structure and balance. The midfield – and even strikers are often also active in defending and sometimes opponents really struggle to create even semi-dangerous scoring chances – let alone score! They have lost just three matches so far in this league this season and have 39 points to their account and currently occupy the 4th place in the standings.

By raw class the visors are clearly better and, in my view, would deserve to be slim favorites even away from home. The home advantage should never be under-estimated, especially in country like Brazil where football is a hugely important thing for millions of people, but Ponte Preta do not have the best fans supporting them. They have won just two of their most recent seven home games. One of these two home matches took place on the 31st of June when they defeated a pretty lowly team, Operario, 3-0 as very clear favorites according to the betting market. They were the better team, but the 3-0 final score does not reflect the events on the pitch. Ponte Preta were just slightly better in this match overall. The visitors even had 55% ball possession. In their most recent match, they were okay and took a point from CRB away from home through a 1-1 draw, but their offensive football was once again pretty lame and often lacked tempo for most of the 90 minutes. They have netted the ball just 17 times so far this season and will probably not get too many scoring chances against the strong visitors.. The hosts have a long list of absentees here: Fabinho, Leo Santos, Moises Ribeiro, Ramon Carvalho and Ribamar are injured. At the time of writing this Danilo Gomes’s and Nolberto’s situation is unclear. Vasco will be without Nene – because of a suspension (red card) - Sarrafiore and Ulisses.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周三上午，巴西乙级联赛第23轮在Estádio Moisés卢卡雷利-坎皮纳斯球场举行的比赛中，普雷塔主场迎战达伽马。这是巴西足球的第二级，整体质量相当不错，为足球爱好者提供了体面的娱乐。不过，甲级联赛的水平要高得多。当许多球迷和赌徒听到巴西足球这个词时，他们可能会想到漂亮的进球和像贝利和罗纳尔多这样令人惊叹的前锋，但与其他一些南美联赛类似，特别是阿根廷甲级职业联赛，意乙实际上是一个低进球的联赛。在这里，平局的几率比通常的意乙比赛要低得多，但我认为这是一场比博彩市场更低的冲突!推荐的赌+0.5目标障碍选项有73%的机会获胜。低预期目标背后的主要原因是瓦斯科·达·伽马非常坚固的防御。事实上，到目前为止，他们只丢了12个球，打进了23个可观的进球。他们在防守方面有一些令人失望的比赛，但在大多数比赛中，他们有一个非常好的防守结构和平衡。中场——甚至前锋也经常积极防守，有时对手真的很难创造出哪怕是半危险的得分机会——更不用说进球了!本赛季到目前为止，他们只输掉了3场比赛，拿到了39分，目前排名第4。

在我看来，通过原始的阶级，遮阳帽显然更好，即使在远离家乡的地方，也应该是薄的最爱。主场优势永远不应该被低估，尤其是在巴西这样的国家，足球对数百万人来说是一件非常重要的事情，但庞特普雷塔没有最好的球迷支持他们。在最近的7场主场比赛中，他们只赢了两场。这两场主场比赛中的一场发生在6月31日，当时他们以3比0击败了一支实力相当弱的球队Operario，根据博彩市场的预测，这支球队很有可能获胜。他们是更好的球队，但3比0的最终比分并不能反映球场上的事件。庞特·普雷塔在这场比赛中整体表现略好。客队甚至有55%的球权。在最近的一场比赛中，他们踢得还不错，客场1-1战平CRB拿到了一分，但他们的进攻足球再次非常差劲，在90分钟的大部分时间里经常缺乏节奏。本赛季到目前为止，他们只打进了17次球，面对强大的客队，他们可能不会得到太多的进球机会。东道主有一长串的缺席名单:法比尼奥、里奥·桑托斯、莫伊西斯·里贝罗、拉蒙·卡瓦略和里巴马尔受伤。在写这篇文章的时候，达尼洛·戈麦斯和诺贝托的情况还不清楚。瓦斯科将失去内内——因为萨拉菲奥雷和尤利西斯的禁赛(红牌)。