Who wins in the Premier League today? 谁能赢下本场比赛?
2020-12-19

Borja

外籍分析师

英超

12/20 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Very equal game here, so we go with the double chance for Fulham.

Newcastle is a weak side in the Premier League, who is suffering a lot to score goals. In fact, only Burnley have had fewer shots from inside the box this season than Newcastle (67) - a statistic which is a great barometer of how many good goalscoring opportunities teams are creating.

Only won 5 league games so far, 2 of them very luckily: West Brom (2:1, scoring at 1’ and 82’) and Crystal Palace (0:2, scoring at 88’ and 91’). Also other victories like vs Everton, they were dominated.

They come from a huge defeat in the midweek against Leeds, where they lost 5-2 conceding 25 shots. Another interesting fact is that Newcastle is the Premier League team with higher number of shots conceded per game - 16.3.

Furthermore, we must remember that three weeks ago Newcastle had to postpone the game against Aston Villa due to covid (several players infected), and there are rumours that some of them may be still recovering he fit, like Isaac Hayden or Federico Fernandez. With a midweek game vs Leeds and three games in 8 days, it is well known that coach Steve Bruce will be forced to make changes in the lineup, especially due to the other injuries (Manquillo, Saint-Maximin, Schar, Lascelles).

On the other hand, Fulham’s season is far from the perfection but also have been unlucky with the schedule in the last weeks: (Liverpool, Leicester, Manchester City) while also were very unlucky in several games: the defeat vs Everton (2:3, missing a penalty), West Ham (1:0, conceding at 91’), vs Sheffield (1:1, missed another penalty and conceded at 86’)...

Against teams that didn't finish in the top seven last season, Fulham have made 13 or more shots in 7 of 9 games, and this together with the Newcastle defensive stats makes me think that Fulham should find the way to score some goal here.

I'm expecting Fulham to have the territorial advantage at St James' Park. Newcaslte will have lack of pace in their defence, and Fulham will find opportunities with their quick offensive players.

While both clubs will see this game as an opportunity to make significant headway up the standings, avoiding defeat before the Christmas period is arguably more important. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see these two sides settle for a point apiece.

纽卡斯尔在英超中是一支弱势球队,他们在进球方面效率不佳。事实上,本赛季只有伯恩利的禁区内射门次数比纽卡斯尔少(67次)——这个数据很能说明问题,可以显示球队创造了多少进球机会。

到目前为止只赢了5场联赛,其中2场非常幸运:西布朗2:1,1分和82分,水晶宫0:2,88分钟和91分钟进球。还有其他的胜利,比如对埃弗顿,但他们被控制了。

他们在周中对阵利兹联的比赛中惨败,2:5,被射门25次。另一个有趣的事实是纽卡斯尔在英超联赛中每场被射门次数更高——16.3次。

此外,我们必须记住,三周前由于几名球员感染,纽卡斯尔不得不推迟对阿斯顿维拉的比赛,有传言说他们中的一些人可能还在恢复中,比如海登和费德里科费尔南德斯。在周中对阵利兹联的比赛,考虑到8天内的3场比赛中,众所周知主教练史蒂夫·布鲁斯将不得不对阵容进行调整,尤其是考虑到其他伤病(曼基洛、圣马克西明、沙尔、拉塞尔斯)。

另一方面,富勒姆的赛季也远非完美,但球队遭遇 魔鬼赛程:(莱斯特,利物浦,曼城),有几场比赛输的也冤:败给埃弗顿(2:3,错失了一个点球),西汉姆(1:0,91分钟丢球),战平谢菲尔德(1:1,86分钟错过了另一个点球)…

在对阵上赛季未能进入前七的球队时,富勒姆在9场比赛中有7场有13次或更多的射门,加上纽卡斯尔的防守数据,我认为富勒姆应该找到在这里进球的方法。

我希望富勒姆在圣詹姆斯公园有领土优势。纽卡斯尔在后防线上缺乏速度,而富勒姆反击的速度比较快。

虽然两家俱乐部都很重视本场比赛,但在圣诞节前避免失败无疑更为重要。考虑到这一点,看到双方各取一分也不要感到惊讶。

看好富勒姆不败

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