Excellent value in Bundesliga 2 today 德乙:桑德豪森VS杜塞多夫
2022-08-05

Przem

外籍分析师

德乙

08/06 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion odds on Fortuna are simply too high, I see more than 55% chances for them to win, so odds above 2.00 looks like 'must play' bet.

In previous season Fortuna recorded fully deserved win at this stadium 2:0. It's not long travel for guests - it's around 3 hours drive by car and they coming here full of confidence. Fortuna didn't lost at this stadium in last 4 matches in a row.

I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality, ambitions and potential. Sandhausen finished last 5 consecutive seasons in bottom half of the table and for them main goal is to avoid relegation. On the other hand Fortuna with coach Thioune on the bench is one of the main contenders to get promotion, since he came to the club they didn't lost in 14 of 15 league matches. Sandhausen coach Schwarz said: "They are very well attuned and have a good mix in the team. I'm sure that Fortuna will fight for the coveted promotion places."

Fortuna started season in great style as they recorded two wins and in both matches scored more than one goal. Strikers are in good shape - Kownacki (one goal and assist), Hennings (already 2 goals). They shouldn't have problems with goalscoring against Sandhausen defensive formation - in previous season that was one of the worst defense in whole league and should be similar story this year because they already conceding goals from not so dangerous situations (3 in 2 matches). Central defenders Dumic and Zhirov are strong and tall, but they are not good in defending fast pace attacks which Fortuna loves to play.

Fortuna also should be able to be better in the middle zone as they have high quality, in-form Akana on central midfielder position. He have potential to be one of the best player in whole league.

Before start of the season Sandhausen lost their top scorer of last season Testroet. In addition to that one of the best scorer and assistant Soukou is still not fully fit. It's a problem, even hosts coach Schwarz said: "It's not that easy. We're keeping our eyes and ears open and I wish we could get another attacker." Striker Pulkrab looked poor so far and have been replaced in both matches. Sandhausen scored only one goal in last 5 matches against Düsseldorf and I see problems for them also today.

All in all, Fortuna is better team in all departments and have bigger chances to win than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,《Fortuna》的赔率太高了,我认为他们获胜的几率超过55%,所以超过2.00的赔率就像是“必须要下注”的赌注。

在上个赛季,福尔图纳在这个球场以2:0取得了完全应得的胜利。对客人来说,这里的路程并不长——大约3个小时的车程,他们满怀信心地来到这里。福尔图纳在这个球场连续4场比赛都没有输。

我看到了两支球队在质量、野心和潜力方面的巨大差异。桑德豪森连续5个赛季排名垫底,他们的主要目标是避免降级。另一方面,由于主帅蒂乌恩在替补席上,福尔图纳是晋级的主要竞争者之一,因为他来到了俱乐部,他们在15场联赛中没有输掉14场。桑德豪森的教练施瓦茨说:“他们非常协调,在球队中有很好的组合。我相信福尔图纳会为这些梦寐以求的晋升机会而战。”

福尔图纳在赛季初表现出色,他们取得了两场胜利,两场比赛都打进了一个以上的球。前锋状态良好——科纳基(1球+助攻),亨宁斯(已经2球)。面对Sandhausen的防守阵型,他们应该不会有进球的问题——在上个赛季,Sandhausen是整个联赛中最差的防守阵型之一,今年应该会有类似的情况,因为他们已经在不太危险的情况下丢球了(2场3球)。中后卫杜米奇和日罗夫身材高大,但他们不擅长防守福尔图纳喜欢踢的快节奏进攻。

福尔图纳在中路的表现也应该会更好,因为他们有高质量、状态良好的阿卡纳在中路。他有潜力成为全联盟最好的球员之一。

在赛季开始前,桑德豪森失去了上赛季的最佳射手泰斯特罗特。除此之外,最好的射手和助手之一搜口还没有完全康复。这是一个问题,就连东道主主教练施瓦茨都说:“这并不容易。我们会睁大眼睛,竖起耳朵,我希望能再找到一个袭击者。”前锋普尔克拉布目前状态不佳,两场比赛都被换下。桑德豪森在最近5场对Düsseldorf的比赛中只进了一个球,今天我也看到了他们的问题。

总而言之,福尔图纳在所有部门都是更好的团队,比博彩公司希望我们赢的几率更大。

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