A great match to bet on!
2022-08-04

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧协联

08/05 00:00

已完赛

解读理由:

KuPS vs Young Boys


KuPS welcome visitors from Switzerland for this UEFA Conference League qualification round 3 first leg clash at Veritas Stadion in Turku. Indeed, Väre Areena, KuPS's home stadium does not meet UEFA's requirements! This is a major blow for KuPS's already very slim chances to qualify here.. Kuopio is a six hours' drive from Turku so not too may fans will be supporting their team at the stadium KuPS will probably not have any chance of winning even in Finland. Indeed, last season KuPS faced Union Berlin, a German team about the same level as Young Boys, in Helsinki in the 4th round of this same competition. Well. they fought well, even exceed themselves in a way but lost 0-4. Harsh. Big European teams are deadly making the most of almost every scoring chance against limited defenders and goalkeeper. Here the difference in every area of the game, especially in offense, is staggeringly big! We bet on Union Berlin -1.5 at good odds and will take the same handicap here. The chance of winning is 57% so this pick is even more lucrative than my picks on average. I expect the odds to drop on the market before the kickoff when smart money piles up on Young Boys.

KuPS are on over-rated team by the bookies even in Veikkausliiga as mentioned many times before. Veikkausliiga is Finland's first tier. Once again KuPS get too much respect from the bookies in an international match as well.. In their most recent match, they lost to Haka away from home 1-2 and did not look as good as early season or last season on average. They had a tiring trip to Orhei, Moldova, before this match but this does not fully explain the lame performance. They did beat two good teams last season in Conference League qualifying - Astana and Vorskla Poltava - but had quite a lot of luck in these matches.. Young Boys, on the other hand, played in the Champions League group phase last season even beating Manchester United at home! Of course they are not at ManU's level by raw class but still from another planet than KuPS! They play very offensive and fast football. The tempo in Veikkausliiga is low by European standards and KuPS will not be able to stop the visitors' talented strikers unless they really under-estimate KuPS or otherwise heavily under-perform. I expect KuPS's players to get tired towards to end of the game - resulting in more (fatal) defensive errors. KuPS are an organized, well-coached and disciplined team but simply lack the players with enough experience playing against opponents of this caliber. With HJK, the best team in Finland, it would be different and they have even reached success in Europe some years ago - KuPS have not - ever. Young Boys have started the Swiss Super League very well winning two games and playing one draw and I have liked the way they play. Their goal difference is 8:1. Furthermore - to prove the difference between these two clubs - according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts’ players’ total market value is 6.95 million euros. This is undoubtedly too high, and 5.5 million would be a more realistic number! Numerous players, especially Slovenian midfielder Valencic, are clearly over-valued. As for Young Boys, the players' total market value is 57.10 million - the fair would be some 65 million as many of their young players are under-valued. The players’ total market value is, in fact, a surprisingly good indicator of a team’s level on the pitch.. However, if two players are equally good - and one of them is 25 years old and the other one is 35 - the younger player is, of course, much more valuable.. Indeed, a team’s total market value can also be misleading.. Even so, bettors as well as bookies pay more and more attention to this number. 0-2 or 0-3 if I would have to pick a final score here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

本次欧足联资格赛第三轮首回合比赛在图尔库的维里塔斯球场进行,西班牙队欢迎来自瑞士的观众。事实上,Väre Areena, KuPS的主场不符合欧足联的要求!这对本已非常渺茫的晋级机会是一个重大打击。库奥皮奥距离图尔库有6个小时的车程,所以不太可能有球迷在体育场支持他们的球队,即使在芬兰,KuPS可能也没有任何赢得比赛的机会。事实上,上个赛季,在赫尔辛基举行的第四轮比赛中,KuPS与与Young Boys水平相当的德国球队Union Berlin进行了对决。好。他们打得很好,甚至在某种程度上超越了自己,但最终以0比4输了。严厉的。欧洲豪门是致命的,他们几乎利用每一个进球机会来对抗有限的后卫和门将。在这里,比赛的每个方面的差异,尤其是在进攻方面,是惊人的大!我们把赌注押在柏林联盟-1.5,赔率很高,在这里将采取同样的不利条件。赢球的几率是57%,所以这个顺位比我的顺位更赚钱。我预计,当聪明的钱在Young Boys身上堆积起来时,市场的赔率会在开赛前下降。

即使是在Veikkausliiga,如之前多次提到的,up也被赌徒们高估了。Veikkausliiga是芬兰的第一梯队。在一场国际比赛中,up又一次得到了博彩公司的尊重。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场1比2输给了哈卡,看起来并不像赛季初或上赛季的平均水平那么好。在这场比赛之前,他们去了摩尔多瓦的奥莱伊,但这并不能完全解释他们差劲的表现。他们在上赛季的联赛预选赛中击败了两支强队——阿斯塔纳和波尔塔瓦——但在这些比赛中他们运气很好。另一方面,年轻男孩在上赛季的欧冠小组赛中甚至在主场击败了曼联!当然,他们不是在ManU的水平上的原始类,但仍然来自另一个星球比KuPS!他们踢的足球进攻性很强,速度很快。以欧洲的标准来看,维卡乌斯利加的节奏很低,如果客队的有天赋的前锋不被加成的话,加成将无法阻止他们,除非他们真的低估了加成或者表现很差。我估计up的玩家会在比赛快结束的时候感到疲惫,从而导致更多的(致命的)防守失误。up是一支有组织、训练有素、纪律严明的球队,但就是缺乏有足够经验的球员来对抗这种水平的对手。有了HJK,芬兰最好的球队,情况会有所不同,他们甚至在几年前就在欧洲取得了成功——KuPS从来没有。小男孩们在瑞士超级联赛的开局非常出色,赢得了两场比赛,取得了一场平局,我喜欢他们的比赛方式。他们的净胜球是8:1。此外,为了证明这两家俱乐部的不同,根据德国知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主球员的总市值为695万欧元。这个数字无疑太高了,550万是一个更现实的数字!许多球员,尤其是斯洛文尼亚中场瓦伦契奇,显然被高估了。至于“少年男孩”,球员的总市值为5710万美元——由于许多年轻球员的身价被低估,市价将达到6500万美元左右。事实上,球员的总市值是一个很好的指标,可以很好地反映球队在球场上的水平。然而,如果两名球员同样优秀——其中一名25岁,另一名35岁——年轻的球员当然更有价值。事实上,一个团队的总市值也可能是误导。即便如此,投注者和博彩公司也越来越关注这个数字。0比2或者0比3,如果让我来选择最终比分的话。

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