PK-35 vs TPS

PK-35 welcome visitors from Turku at MagneCit-Areena in Helsinki for this Finnish Ykkönen battle. This is the second tier of my home country’s football and is of low level. We lost two of the latest picks on this league last Sunday but have overall done well betting on Finnish football, especially Veikkausliiga, the highest tier. I have mentioned many times that TPS are clearly the best team in Ykkönen, but we have not been able to place a bet on them too often so far because of too low odds. In this match the odds available are high enough and the recommended bet on TPS to win is 55%. They simply do not have any weaknesses in their game – not that they have solved the minor offensive issues they had early season. However, defense is definitely the are of the game where they have the biggest advantage over all the other teams – even very good team Jaro and KTP. Their defense and midfield are exceptionally well-organized and disciplined. Their midfielders are active in defending as well – putting pressure on the opponent – often right after TPS have lost the ball. Indeed, TPS have conceded just 11 goals in 17 games and have found the net 29 times. They have grabbed whopping 37 points and I would be surprised if they failed to win Ykkönen and be promoted back to Veikkausliiga were they belong to! They are a traditional team and have the quality players, a fine stadium by Finnish standards as well as financial resources to play at the highest level. They have the biggest players’ salary budget in Ykkönen. PK-35 also pay decent salaries for some of their players but as an organization - or – most importantly – on the pitch they are nowhere near TPS’s level.

In their most recent match, TPS beat Jaro at home 3-1 it was perhaps more balanced than the score suggests but TPS did deserve the win. We must also remember that Jaro have been excellent lately and have been climbing up the table. Veteran striker Demba Savage -who found the net against Jaro - as well as former Finnish national team player, midfielder Kasper Hämäläinen, who is s true leader and makes very few mistakes, are players to watch here. On the 23th of last month TPS dropped two points away from home against PEPO, a lowly team through a 1-1 draw and were heavily criticized in the Finnish football media. Well, this result does not worry me at all as they would have deserved a comfortable win. They had close to 58% ball possession and recorded six goal attempts – PEPO had just two. Moreover, the hosts had just one shot on target and TPS recorded whopping 280 attacks in this match. Before this they dominated SJK Akatemia on the pitch, a decent team, at home despite winning just 2-1 creating much more in expected goals than the visitors.

PK-35 have grabbed just 17 points so far and are having a very disappointing season. They currently occupy the 9th place and have an abysmal goal difference of 23:36. They have improved a little lately, but I am still not convinced by their football as whole. The betting market has reacted to their recent, better-than-before performances too heavily and the team remain as an over-valued team by the betting market. In their most recent match, they beat MP, not a very good team, away from home 2-1 after a balanced match. PK-35 had more scoring chances and shots on target, but MP had more attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they did beat Ekenäs IF at home 3-1 but the visitors were in a bad place then – a very bad streak after losing their best player,Swedish striker Adam Larsson, who joined Ilves who play in Veikkausliiga. Ekenäs's morale was not high then. They were also without an actual coach in this clash having just sacked Manninen. Now they have a new one from Portugal. Before this Jaro humiliated PK-35 4-0 in Helsinki and I would not be shocked if TPS were to win this by a big margin.. Some of PK-35’s players looked quite lazy, even unmotivated in this match in the second half – a very bad indicator! It was a shameful performance! According to my inside sources and observations the team spirit within PK-35 is far from optimal.. On the 10th of July they were disappointing against lowly PEPO as clear favorites and were once again very vulnerable and unstructured in defense. It was a 3-3 draw. PK-35 have been okay at home but do not have the best home fans and a big crowd is not expected for a weekday match. Their defense is, I presume, too shaky to keep TPS’s talented and experienced offensive players at bay.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

PK-35 vs TPS

PK-35在赫尔辛基的MagneCit-Areena欢迎来自图尔库的游客参加这场芬兰Ykkönen战役。这是我的祖国足球的第二级，水平很低。上周日，我们在这个联赛中失去了两个最新的新秀，但总体来说，我们在芬兰足球上做得很好，尤其是芬兰最高级别的Veikkausliiga。我已经多次提到过TPS显然是Ykkönen中最好的团队，但由于胜算太小，到目前为止我们还没有能够在他们身上下太多的赌注。在这场比赛中，可用的赔率足够高，建议赌TPS赢是55%。他们在比赛中没有任何弱点——这并不是说他们已经解决了赛季初的进攻问题。然而，防守绝对是他们在比赛中比其他球队拥有最大优势的地方，即使是非常好的球队Jaro和KTP。他们的防守和中场非常有组织和纪律。他们的中场也积极防守，经常在TPS丢球后给对手施加压力。事实上，TPS在17场比赛中只丢了11球，29次破门。他们已经获得了惊人的37分，如果他们不能赢得Ykkönen，如果他们被提升回维考斯利加，我会感到惊讶的!他们是一支传统的球队，拥有高质量的球员，以芬兰的标准来说是一座优良的球场，还有足够的财力来踢出最高水平的比赛。他们在Ykkönen拥有最大的球员工资预算。PK-35也为他们的一些球员支付了不错的薪水，但作为一个组织，或者——最重要的是——在球场上，他们远不及TPS的水平。

在他们最近的比赛中，TPS在主场3-1击败了Jaro，这可能比比分显示的更平衡，但TPS确实应该赢。我们还必须记住，最近贾洛表现出色，一直在积分榜上攀升。经验丰富的前锋登巴·萨维奇——他在对阵雅罗的比赛中破门——以及前芬兰国家队球员、中场球员卡斯珀Hämäläinen，他是真正的领袖，很少犯错误，都是值得关注的球员。上个月23日，TPS在客场1-1战平PEPO的比赛中丢了2分，被芬兰足球媒体严厉批评。好吧，这个结果一点也不让我担心，因为他们理应获得一场轻松的胜利。他们的控球率接近58%，有6次射门，而PEPO只有2次。此外，东道主在本场比赛中只有1次射正，TPS记录了惊人的280次攻击。在此之前，他们在球场上统治了Akatemia，一支像样的球队，尽管在主场仅以2比1取胜，创造了比客队更多的预期进球。

PK-35到目前为止只拿到了17分，这是一个非常令人失望的赛季。他们目前占据第9名，净胜球差达到了惊人的23:36。他们最近有一点进步，但我仍然不相信他们的足球整体。博彩市场对他们最近比以前更好的表现反应过度，这支球队仍然被博彩市场高估。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场2-1战胜了MP, MP不是一支很好的球队。PK-35有更多的得分机会和射正，但MP有更多的攻击和危险的攻击。在此之前，他们确实在主场3-1击败了Ekenäs IF，但客队当时的处境很糟糕——在失去了他们最好的球员，瑞典前锋亚当·拉尔森之后，他们的表现非常糟糕，拉尔森加入了在维考斯利加效力的伊尔维斯。Ekenäs当时士气不高。在这场冲突中，他们也没有真正的教练，因为他们刚刚解雇了曼尼宁。现在他们有了一个来自葡萄牙的新成员。在此之前，Jaro在赫尔辛基以4比0羞辱了PK-35，如果TPS以很大优势赢得这场比赛，我也不会感到震惊。PK-35的一些球员看起来很懒，甚至在下半场的比赛中没有动力——这是一个非常糟糕的指标!这是一场可耻的表演!根据我的内部消息来源和观察，PK-35的团队精神远非最佳。在7月10日的比赛中，他们对排名较低的PEPO的表现令人失望，他们的防守再次变得脆弱和松散。平局是3比3。PK-35在主场表现不错，但没有最好的主场球迷，而且预计工作日的比赛不会有一大群球迷。他们的防守，我认为，太不稳定，不能阻止TPS的天才和经验丰富的进攻球员。