In my opinion Nashville have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Nashville coming to this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round when they recorded draw 1:1 at home against Vancouver. Nashville deserved something more as they conceded late goal and had higher expected goals scored number than opponents. In overall Nashville form is very solid as they didn't lost in 6 of last 8 matches in all competitions and even in those matches when they lost, they had higher expected goals scored number than opponents: against LAFC (2.01 vs 1.58), against Charlotte (2.61 vs 2.07). Nashville don't have problems with goalscoring as they scored at least one goal in last 9 matches in a row in all competitions. They ar solid on away as they went unbeaten in 8 of 13 away matches so far, but they should have even better results. They scored 16 goals in 13 away matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 18.06. They conceded 18 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 16.88.

Portland coming to this game after crazy 4:4 draw on away against Minnesota. Defensive formation was extremely unstable in that game and for me is hard to imagine clean sheet today against Nashville. On the other hand Portland had a lot of luck upfront because they had only 1.35 expected goals scored in that game. In current season at home they failed to win in 6 of 11 matches and they should have even worse results. They scored 20 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 18.17. They conceded 13 goals in home matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 16.01.

Portland have two new big absences before today's match - key midfielder Chara and second-best scorer Asprilla are unavailable today (both played in last round match). In addition to that two other key midfielders Paredes and Williamson are probably still not fit enough to play today. That should have bad impact on Portland performance today.

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在我看来，纳什维尔很有可能在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

纳什维尔本场比赛没有新球员缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮在主场1:1战平温哥华时一模一样。纳什维尔应该得到更多的东西，因为他们在最后时刻丢了球，并且比对手有更高的预期进球数。纳什维尔的整体状态非常稳定，因为他们在过去的8场比赛中有6场没有输过，即使在那些比赛中他们输了，他们的预期进球数也高于对手:对阵洛杉矶湖人(2.01比1.58)，对阵夏洛特(2.61比2.07)。纳什维尔在进球方面没有问题，因为他们在所有赛事中连续9场比赛至少进了一个球。到目前为止，他们在13场客场比赛中有8场保持不败，他们的客场表现很稳定，但他们应该会有更好的成绩。他们在13场客场比赛中打进16球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该打进18.06球。他们丢了18个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢16.88个球。

波特兰在客场4:4逼平森林狼之后来到了这场比赛。防守阵型在那场比赛中极度不稳定，对我来说很难想象今天对阵纳什维尔时不失球。另一方面，开拓者很幸运，因为他们在那场比赛中只有1.35个预期进球。本赛季他们在主场11场比赛中有6场没有赢球，他们应该会有更糟糕的结果。他们进了20个球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该进18.17球。他们在主场丢了13球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢16.01球。

波特兰在今天的比赛前又有两名重要球员缺阵——关键中场查拉和第二得分手阿斯普利拉(他们都参加了上一轮比赛)。除此之外，另外两名关键中场帕雷德斯和威廉姆森可能还没有完全康复，不能参加今天的比赛。这对开拓者今天的表现应该会有不好的影响。