PEPO vs MP

PEPO welcome visitors from the small city of Mikkeli for this Finnish Ykkönen clash at Kimpinen Sports Centre in Lappeenranta at midnight Beijing time. This is the second highest level of Finnish football, and the level is very low. A big number of players are semipro footballers in this league. The difference compared to the first tier, Veikkausliiga is substantial. However, betting-wise Ykkönen is interesting, and my fans and I have done quite well betting on it! Neither PEPO or MP are good teams and are at risk of being relegated at the end of the season this autumn. Bottom-6 teams play in the relegation group after the regular season is done. The difference between these teams is not big by raw class. In fact, I rate MP as the 10th strongest team in my power ratings that illustrate the teams pure class. PEPO are in the 11th place in this rating. However, in the standings PEPO are in the last place – 12th- at the moment but the gap to MP in the 9th place is just four points. The home advantage in this league is smaller than on most European leagues but it is still a factor we have to take into account.. The betting market sees MP as pretty clear favorites here which I cannot accept! Even in my papers they are the favorites but very narrow with a 38% chance of winning. Neither team have convinced me offensively lately and I see the game as more low-scoring – and the draw as more probable result - than the betting market does. The chance of winning this pick for my fans and me is 62% as a draw would be enough.

Neither team have been in great shape lately. Indeed, PEPO have not won any of their latest five matches but have still played reasonably well and have taken three draws. The only heavy defeat they have suffered happened on the 6th of this month when Jaro beat them 3-0 in Pietarsaari, we must, however, remember that Jaro have been excellent lately and are a very strong team at home. In their match PEPO fought very well against the best team in this league, TPS from Turku and managed to grab a point at home through a 1-1 draw. They even were in the lead for a while after defender Roope Huhtala’s goal. They were forced to defend quite a lot in this match but were organized and well-structured and TPS only recorded two shots on goal. With a performance of similar level even PEPO beating MP would not be surprise at all. TPS were very clear – priced around 1.50 to win the match on the betting market. MP, on the other hand have won just one of their latest matches – losing four. This win came over today’s opponent 2-1 at home. They were the better team in this match but not by a wide margin. The ball possession was 50-50% and MP on had two shots on goal. PEPO even recorded more attacks in this clash!

北京时间午夜，PEPO 在拉彭兰塔的金皮宁体育中心欢迎来自小城市米凯利的游客参加芬兰 Ykkönen 比赛。这是芬兰足球的第二高水平，而且水平很低。在这个联盟中有很多球员是半职业足球运动员。与第一层相比，Veikkausliiga 的差异是巨大的。然而，投注明智的 Ykkönen 很有趣，我和我的粉丝在这方面投注做得很好！ PEPO 和 MP 都不是好球队，在今年秋季赛季末都有降级的风险。常规赛结束后，排名倒数 6 的球队进入降级组。这些团队之间的差异在原始级别上并不大。事实上，我将 MP 评为我的实力评级中排名第 10 强的团队，这说明了团队的纯洁等级。 PEPO 在该评级中排名第 11 位。然而，在积分榜上，PEPO 目前排在最后一位——第 12 位，但与第 9 位的 MP 的差距仅为 4 分。这这个联赛的主场优势比大多数欧洲联赛要小，但它仍然是我们必须考虑的一个因素。. 博彩市场认为 MP 在这里非常明显的最爱，我不能接受！即使在我的论文中，它们也是最受欢迎的，但获胜的机会很小，只有 38%。这两支球队最近都没有在进攻端说服我，我认为这场比赛比博彩市场的得分更低——而平局更可能是结果。我和我的粉丝赢得这个选秀权的机会是 62%，因为平局就足够了。

最近两支球队的状态都不太好。事实上，PEPO 在最近的五场比赛中没有赢得任何一场比赛，但仍然打得相当不错，并且取得了三场平局。他们唯一一次惨败发生在本月 6 日，当时 Jaro 在 Pietarsaari 以 3-0 击败他们，但是我们必须记住，Jaro 最近表现出色，在主场是一支非常强大的球队。在他们的比赛中，PEPO 与本场比赛中最好的球队打得很好联赛，图尔库的 TPS 并设法通过 1-1 平局在主场抢到一分。在后卫鲁普·胡塔拉进球后，他们甚至一度领先。他们在这场比赛中被迫进行了很多防守，但组织和结构良好，TPS只记录了两次射门。以类似水平的表现，即使是 PEPO 击败 MP 也不足为奇。 TPS 非常明确——定价在 1.50 左右以赢得投注市场上的比赛。另一方面，国会议员只赢了他们最近的一场比赛——输了四场。这场胜利在主场2-1战胜了今天的对手。他们是这场比赛中表现更好的球队，但差距并不大。控球率为 50-50%，MP on 有两次射门。 PEPO 甚至在这场比赛中取得了更多的射门！