Sociedad improving? 西甲 皇家社会vs加的斯
2021-02-07

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

02/07 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

It is true that Real Sociedad have not won much lately and it has down to missing their best finishers and creators for a long time, but they still have been playing well in practically all of the games and would had deserved a lot more.

When the teams met in Cadiz in November the timing chart looked like this; the thin blue line is Cadiz goal expectation:

It is an example of how good their defense is, they are 2nd best team defensively behind only Atletico Madrid.

The last 7 league went like this:

Only team who have outplayed their defense recently has been Sevilla at home, and the xG suggests that they should had won Betis and Villarreal in last two rather easily.

Cadiz played an entertaining 2-4 game against all expectations last time around, but their form is a bit worrying regarding the survival.

The only win is over Alaves who were struggling badly at that time, they have conceded badly vs the big teams, constantly lose the xG. In the start of the season they took amazing results from their travels, but that form is all gone.

At injury situation there is some hope for a David Silva return into Sociedad lineup, but at least Merino, Illarramendi and Oyarzabal are. Isak upfront has been good recently, and the absence of cb Le Normand is just a good thing as he is risky and clumsy.

At Cadiz a few absentees, but the key players are all there. I struggle to rate the individual class of the defenders, midfield or even the keeper too highly, but admittedly Negredo and Lozano upfront can cause problems to anyone if there are defensive mistakes.

Time for Sociedad to win a game, and comfortably so. They are 6th in the table, with some better luck they could sit in top-3.

3-0

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

的确,皇家社会最近并没有赢得太多的比赛,他们已经失去了他们最好的终结者和创造者很长一段时间了,但他们仍然在几乎所有的比赛中都表现得很好,他们应该得到更多。

当两队11月在加的斯相遇时,比赛的时间表是这样的;细蓝线是加的斯的目标期望:

这是他们防守的一个例子,他们是仅次于马德里竞技的防守第二好的球队。

过去的7个联赛都是这样的:

最近只有塞维利亚在主场击败了他们的防守,小泽认为他们应该在最后两场比赛中轻松击败贝蒂斯和比利亚雷亚尔。

加的斯在上一场比赛中以4-2战胜了所有人的期望,但是他们的状态还是有点让人担心。

唯一的胜利是对Alaves,他们在当时很挣扎,他们在与强队的比赛中输得很惨,不断的输掉xG。在赛季初,他们在旅途中取得了惊人的成绩,但这种状态已经完全消失了。

在伤病的情况下,大卫席尔瓦有希望回到社会的阵容中,但至少美利诺,伊拉拉米迪和奥亚扎巴尔是这样的。艾萨克的锋线最近很不错,而没有勒诺芒德是件好事,因为他很冒险,也很笨拙。

在加的斯有一些缺席,但是关键球员都在。我很难把后卫、中场甚至守门员的个人级别评价得太高,但必须承认,内格雷多和洛扎诺在前场的防守失误会给任何人带来麻烦。

该是皇家社会赢得比赛的时候了,而且很轻松。他们在排行榜上排名第六,如果运气好一点的话,他们可以进入前三名。

预测比分3:0。

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