Those odds are simply too high! 挪超海于格松VS萨普斯堡
2022-07-24

Przem

外籍分析师

解读理由:

In my opinion Haugesund have really good chances to make positive result in today's match up. I don't see their loss so +0 AH looks like great and safe bet. Hosts deserve to be much bigger favorite in this game.

Haugesund have really solid record against Sarpsborg as they didn't lost in 15 of 20 matches against them. Haugesund went unbeaten in last 8 consecutive home matches against Sarpsborg and I see continuation of this streak today. In previous season Haugesund won here 2:1.

Haugesund didn't lost in last two consecutive home matches (recorded impressive 4:2 win against 4th Viking). In last round they played on away against strong Molde (leader of the table), they lost 0:1, but no shame at all (goal conceded from penalty kick). Left midfielder Eskesen left the pitch with injury and is unavailable today. It's only one absence for hosts. That shouldn't be problem because he looked poor against Molde.

Sarpsborg is in very poor form as they lost 4 of last 5 matches and even in that game where they won against Sandefjord at home, they not looked convincing: expected goals scored for Sarpsborg 1.68, for Sandefjord 1.79. Today team have big squad problems: first goalkeeper Kristansen is still unavailable, best assistant and probably best player in whole team Lindseth is very doubtful, same as two best scorers Maigaard and Molins. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

On those circumstances I see really good chances for hosts and those odds are simply too high!


在我看来,海于格松有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得积极的成绩。我不认为他们会输球,所以主队不败看起来是个不错且安全的选择。主队应该在这场比赛中成为热门。

海于格松对萨普斯堡的战绩非常好,因为他们在与他们的 20 场比赛中没有输掉 15 场。

海于格松在过去连续 8 场主场对阵萨普斯堡的比赛中保持不败,我认为今天这种连胜纪录还在继续。上个赛季海于格松在这里以2:1获胜。

海于格松连续两场主场比赛均未失利(以 4:2 战胜第四届维京人)。上轮他们客场对阵强势的莫尔德(积分榜领头羊),0:1输了,但一点也不丢人(点球丢球)。左中场埃斯克森因伤离开球场,今天无法上场。只缺少一人,这应该不是问题,因为他在与莫尔德的比赛中看起来很糟糕。

萨普斯堡的状态非常糟糕,因为他们在过去 5 场比赛中输了 4 场,甚至在那他们在主场战胜 Sandefjord 的比赛看起来并不令人信服:萨普斯堡的预期进球数为 1.68,Sandefjord 的预期进球数为 1.79。今天球队有很大的阵容问题:第一门将克里斯坦森仍然无法出场,最佳助攻收和可能是全队最好的球员林赛斯出战UC难以,就像两个最佳射手麦加德和莫林斯一样。这是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在这种情况下,我认为主队不败的机会非常大!

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