I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups.

+2.5 AH on Jerv raised up by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and now I see excellent value on away side.

Jerv comig to this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Jerv defensive formation is not so bad - in 14 matches they conceded 25 matches, so I'm not so sure about at least 3 goals for Bodo today. In last 6 matches only against Rosenborg they conceded more than two goals, on the other hand Jerv currently don't have problems with goalscoring - they scored at least one goal in 6 consecutive matches in all competitions.

In the midweek Bodo lost on away in Champions League qualies against Linfield and they will play second match against them at Wednesday. For sure it's their priority. Bodo defensive formation conceded at least one goal in 3 of last 4 matches. In addition to that they are without defenders Larsen and Moe today. Bodo scored 30 goals in 14 matches so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 26.1. Today they are without second-best scorer Espejord and key winger Solbakken.

On those circumstances Jerv +2.5 looks like great bet.