6 points after 2 rounds or no? BIG VALUE 6分之战?
2022-07-22

Przem

外籍分析师

德乙

07/23 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Fortuna have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

In previous season Fortuna failed to win twice against Paderborn, but for me that is not so important. Fortuna lost at home 2:3, but they were coached by Christian Preusser, also 2 goals scorer for Paderborn - Sven Michel - is not in club anymore. On away Fortuna recorded draw 1:1 (goal conceded in stoppage time from penalty kick). Fortuna came to that game without 14 players and coach Thioune (Corona spread was a reason of so many absences). Today Paderborn finally will play against 'real' Fortuna. Coach Thioune said: "I told my boys that Paderborn don't even know many of our players because we were there with a different team this year. I'm looking forward to the game."

Since Thioune came to the club Fortuna didn't lost in 13 of 14 Bundesliga 2 matches and without any shadow of doubt they are one of the biggest contenders to get promotion at the end of the season. Top scorer Hennings stays in club (scored in first match), other offensive star Kownacki came back from loan (assist in first match), key central defender Tanaka decide to stay longer in Fortuna (received Man of the match award). Fortuna looks strong not only on the paper, but they are really good at both ends of the pitch. In opening match of the season they played against newcomers from Magdeburg and Fortuna won 2:1 after really good match, both teams played on really high level. It's first match of the season front of home crowd and for sure motivation to win is on the highest possible level.

Paderborn won first match of the season 5:0 at home against Karlsruher, but only on the paper that's look superb. Paderborn not deserved for such big win: expected goals scored for Paderborn 2.05, for Karlsruher 1.33. In first part of the match both teams played on really low level and not looked convincing at all. At the start of second half Paderborn was awarded penalty kick, they scored a goal and that was turning point - Karlsruher completely collapsed and conceded 4 goals in 10 minutes. In first half Karlsruher had good chances to score and Paderborn not looked strong at all, this is the reason why I not trust for them today.

Fortuna for me looks like stronger, more complete team than guests of today's match. Despite big win in first round, for me also Fortuna played on the much higher level. Their squad should look exactly the same like in match against Magdeburg and they should be able to prove on the pitch their advantage in quality over than Paderborn. Great value in odds on home side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,在今天的比赛中,福尔图纳有很好的机会拿到3分。

在上个赛季,福尔图纳未能两次战胜帕德伯恩,但对我来说,这不是那么重要。福尔图纳主场2:3输球,但他们的教练是克里斯蒂安·普雷瑟,同样为帕德伯恩打进2球的斯文·米歇尔已经不在俱乐部了。客场,福尔图纳1:1战平(在补时阶段,点球被罚)。那场比赛,Fortuna没有14名球员和教练Thioune (Corona的扩散是很多人缺席的原因)。今天帕德伯恩终于要和“真正的”福尔图纳比赛了。教练Thioune说:“我告诉我的孩子们,帕德伯恩甚至不认识我们的很多球员,因为今年我们和另一支球队在一起。我很期待这场比赛。”

自从蒂奥内来到俱乐部后,福尔图纳在14场德甲比赛中13场未输,毫无疑问,他们是赛季结束后升级的最大竞争者之一。最佳射手亨宁斯留在了俱乐部(首场比赛就进球),其他进攻明星科纳基从租借回来(首场比赛助攻),关键中卫田中决定留在福尔图纳更长时间(获得了本场最佳球员)。福尔图纳不仅在球场上看起来很强大,而且他们在攻防两端都很出色。在本赛季的首场比赛中,他们对阵了来自马格德堡的新人,在一场非常精彩的比赛后,福尔图纳2:1获胜,两支球队都踢得非常高。这是本赛季在主场观众面前的第一场比赛,毫无疑问,胜利的动力是在可能的最高水平上。

帕德伯恩在本赛季首场比赛中主场5:0战胜了卡尔斯鲁赫,但这只是在纸面上看起来很出色。帕德伯恩不应该获得如此大的胜利:帕德伯恩的预期进球为2.05,卡尔斯鲁赫的预期进球为1.33。在比赛的第一部分,两队的水平都很低,看起来没有说服力。下半场开始,帕德伯恩获得点球,他们打入一球,这是一个转折点——卡尔斯鲁赫完全崩溃,在10分钟内丢了4球。上半场卡尔斯鲁赫有很好的进球机会,帕德伯恩看起来一点都不强大,这就是我不相信他们的原因。

在我看来,福尔图纳比今天比赛的嘉宾更强大,更完整。尽管在第一轮取得了巨大的胜利,但对我来说,Fortuna的水平更高。他们的阵容应该和对马格德堡的比赛一模一样,他们应该能够在球场上证明他们在质量上比帕德伯恩更有优势。主队的胜算很大。

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