Eskilstuna VS Trelleborg

Eskilstuna host Trelleborg at Tunavallen for this Swedish Superettan round 14 battle. This is the second highest level of Swedish football and is not of very high level by global standards. The level compared tp the first tier, Allsvenskan, is substantial.For example MLS and the South American leagues offer better entertainment for football fans.A balanced match is expected here and I do not quite understand the recent odds movement with today’s expected starting lineups today – odds on Eskilstuna have been going down.. The visitors are definitely stronger by raw class and Eskilstuna does not have the best home crowd so the home advantage is not very high here.

According to a well-known and respected German website, Trasfermarkt.com, the teams’ squads are equally valued, around 4 million euros. Maybe this is one of the reasons for the hosts being over-valued here..Indeed, Eskiltuna’s squad is surely not really worth the 4 million! I would say 3.1 million would be more accurate.. At least four - even 5 players are over-valued. I want to mention especially right-winger Andre Alsanati,22, whose estimated market value of 325 000 euros is hugely inflated! As for Trelleborg, I would set their squad’s fair market value at around 4.4 million. Just my taking a look at the standings this pick might sound perhaps a bit weird but once again I will not be fooled by this! Not reacting too much to the results - especially during the early season is one of the keys to profitable sports betting long-term. Eskiltuna have been very lucky this season in terms of expected goals and - more importantly – expected points. Both are key statistics used by professional football bettors. Eskilstuna currently occupy the 5th place with 22 points in the bank. Their goal difference is misleadingly good – 30:22. Trelleborg have the same number of points in the bank but are in 7th place. I expect Eskilstuna to drop down in the standings as the season progresses. Surely their offense is not as good as one might be lead to think looking it the number of goals scored so far..

In their most recent match against Brage the hosts were okay away from home and grabbed a point through a 1-1 draw. We must remember that Brage are a good team. However, Brage were the better team on the pitch for most of the 90 minutes and them winning by one goal’s difference would not have been unjustified. However, before this Eskilstuna were, once again, very lucky to win – this time over Brommapojkarna 3-1 at home. The visitors would have deserved a win – a draw at minimum. They had close to 60% ball possession and recorded much more scoring attempts, shots on target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Trelleborg, on the other hand, are in fine form only loss in Superettan for a long time happened on the 22nd of May at home against a dangerous team Öster 1-2 at home and Trelleborg were the underdogs in this match according to the betting market. The match was a very balanced one and I would say a draw would have been a justified result. We won a bet (+0.5 goals handicap) last week on Trelleborg and will once again bet on them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. Goals are expected here but still I see this as more low-scoring than the betting market does. Odds on the draw are too high – over 4.00 available with some bookies.. We will, however, go with the Trelleborg +0.5 goals with a 66% chance of winning in this match without a favorite in my view. Trelleborg surely have potential for further improvement offensively – their defense is pretty solid already.

埃斯基尔斯蒂纳 (Eskilstuna) 在图纳瓦伦 (Tunavallen) 主场迎战特瑞堡 (Trelleborg)，参加瑞典 Superettan 第 14 轮比赛。这是瑞典足球的第二高水平，以全球标准来看并不是很高的水平。与一级联赛 Allsvenskan 相比，水平相当可观。例如 MLS 和南美联赛为足球迷提供了更好的娱乐。这里预计会有一场平衡的比赛，我不太了解最近的赔率走势与今天的预期首发阵容– 埃斯基尔斯蒂纳的赔率一直在下降。按原始级别来说，客队肯定更强，埃斯基尔斯蒂纳没有最好的主场观众，所以这里的主场优势不是很高。

根据知名且受人尊敬的德国网站 Trasfermarkt.com 的数据，两支球队的阵容价值相同，约为 400 万欧元。也许这就是这里的东道主被高估的原因之一。.确实，埃斯基尔图纳的球队肯定不值400万！我会说310万会更准确..在至少四名——甚至五名球员都被高估了。我想特别提一下22岁的右翼球员安德烈·阿尔萨纳蒂（Andre Alsanati），他估计32.5万欧元的市值被夸大了！至于特瑞堡，我将他们球队的公平市值设定在 440 万左右。只是我看看这个选秀权的排名可能听起来有点奇怪，但我不会再被这个愚弄了！不要对结果做出太多反应——尤其是在赛季初期，这是长期盈利的体育博彩的关键之一。埃斯基尔图纳本赛季在预期进球和 - 更重要的是 - 预期得分方面非常幸运。两者都是职业足球博彩玩家使用的关键统计数据。埃斯基尔斯蒂纳目前以 22 分排在第 5 位。他们的目标差是误导性的好 - 30:22。 Trelleborg 在银行的积分数相同，但排在第 7 位。我预计埃斯基尔斯蒂纳会随着赛季的进行而在积分榜上下降。他们的进攻肯定不如很好，可能会导致认为看它到目前为止的进球数。 在最近一次对阵布拉奇的比赛中，主队在客场还不错，并通过 1-1 平局拿下一分。我们必须记住，Brage 是一支优秀的球队。然而，在 90 分钟的大部分时间里，布拉奇都是场上表现更好的球队，他们以一球之差获胜并不是没有道理的。然而，在此之前，埃斯基尔斯蒂纳再次非常幸运地获胜——这次是在主场以 3-1 击败布罗马波伊卡纳。客队本应赢得一场胜利——至少是一场平局。他们拥有接近 60% 的控球率，并且记录了更多的得分尝试、射门次数、进攻和危险进攻。另一方面，特瑞堡状态良好，只是在 5 月 22 日主场以 1-2 的比分在主场以 1-2 的比分在 Superettan 长期失利，根据投注市场，特瑞堡在这场比赛中处于劣势。

这场比赛非常平衡，我会说平局这将是一个合理的结果。我们上周在特瑞堡投注（+0.5 进球让分），并将再次以 +0.5 进球让分选项投注。这里预计会有进球，但我仍然认为这比博彩市场的得分更低。平局的赔率太高了——一些博彩公司有超过 4.00 的赔率。但是，我们会选择特瑞堡 +0.5 个进球，在我看来没有最爱的情况下，我们有 66% 的机会在这场比赛中获胜。特瑞堡在进攻端肯定有进一步提升的潜力——他们的防守已经相当稳固了。