You may have noticed that I have gone Sundsvall basically all season so far. There are a few Sundsvall wins as well as this is football we are talking about, but there is no reason to change my mind that they are Allsvenskan's weakest club.

A look at their season so far:

Sundsvall have collected 10 points from 13 games, all 3 wins have come at home. The home win over Malmö a few rounds ago is a remarkable result, but Malmö were rotating due CL games, and still won the underlying stats by a massive margin as Malmö produced 37! shots and made a here of the Sundsvall keeper Andersson.

Below a shot map of that game, as you see the 2-1 result v a top team is unlikely to reproduce!

Häcken today is a better team than what Malmö was on that day. They are at 28 points after 13 rounds, last 10 games are 6-4-0. What is slightly worrying piece of data that 3 of the draws are from their away games, although the last one was v strong Hammarby side and Häcken were in fact leading by 2 until rather late.

Looking at class difference and form alone I am tempted to go for -1.5 away win, but the problem is that Häcken do not win big. In fact, they have won only 3 games this season by more than 1 goal, and all of them were at home. Although they have Jeremejeff starting, he is playing a super season with 12 goals in 12 games and if he scores early enough there could easily be bigger margin!

There are some interesting new signings at Häcken as Simon Gustafson returns from Holland, and at Sundsvall the door has mostly been open to the other direction, and there are so many games where Sundsvall really have given up - they have lost 7 games by at least 2 goals so far, and most games v top sides have ended up in misery even at home. (DIF 2-5, AIK 0-2, Hammarby 0-5)

There is definitely a chance for a big win for Häcken despite all the doubts about playing away, and I take it!

At Häcken there are 2 long-term injured plyers Bénie Traoré and Filip Trpcevski . Tonight also Erik Friberg and Jonathan Rasheed are out, neither of them especially important.

Good luck whatever you decide to do. There is some risk with the handicap, but I take it.

你可能已经注意到，到目前为止，我基本上整个赛季都选择了松兹瓦尔。松兹瓦尔获得了几场胜利，这就是我们正在谈论的足球，但我没有理由改变他们是瑞典超最弱的俱乐部的想法。

看看他们到目前为止的表现： 松兹瓦尔在 13 场比赛中得到 10 分，所有 3 场胜利都来自主场。几轮前主场战胜马尔默是一个了不起的结果，但马尔默在联赛的比赛中轮换，并且仍然以巨大的优势赢得了基础数据，因为马尔默已经拿了 37 分！

顶级球队不太可能重现 2-1 的结果！

赫根是一支比当时那支马尔默更好的球队。

13轮过后他们积28分，最近10场比赛是6胜4平。有点令人担忧的数据是，其中 3 场平局来自他们的客场比赛，尽管最后一场是对强大的哈马比，而赫根实际上领先 2 球，直到比较晚的时候才丢球。

单看实力差距，我很想去-1.5客场获胜，但问题是赫根本赛季只赢了3场比赛，净胜球超过1球，而且都是主场作战。虽然他们有 Jeremejeff 首发，但他在 12 场比赛中打进 12 个进球的超级赛季，如果他进球足够早，很容易获得更大的优势！

随着西蒙·古斯塔夫森从荷兰归来，赫根有一些新的签约，松兹瓦尔放弃了很多比赛——他们至少输掉了 7 场比赛到目前为止 2 个进球，即使在主场，大多数对阵顶级球队的比赛都以惨败告终。

尤尔加登 2-5，索尔纳0-2，哈马比 0-5） 尽管对客场比赛存有疑虑，但赫根绝对有机会大获全胜！

在赫根，有 2 名长期受伤的球员 Bénie Traoré 和 Filip Trpcevski 。今晚还有埃里克Friberg 和 Jonathan Rasheed 无法出场，他们都不是特别重要。

祝好运。尽管有一些风险，但我会如此选择。