I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements.

Odds on Criciuma win raised up by 0.10 in last 3 hours on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I see really good chances for Ponte Preta to avoid loss in today's match up.

Ponte Preta have fantastic streak against Criciuma as they didn't lost against them in 10 consecutive matches!

According to the stats, Ponte Preta defensive formation is in top5 in whole league - they conceded only 0.8 goals per game and they kept 8 clean sheets in 17 matches. They coming for this game with very defensive mindset. Defensive formation is full of confidence - they conceded only one goal in last 4 matches. Line up at the back should look exactly the same like in previous round so we can expect consistency once again.

Criciuma is very up and down in last weeks - two wins in last 5 matches, but both in not convincing style: 1:0 against Vila Nova by goal from penalty kick and 2:1 against Ituano by goal in stoppage time. Criciuma is unstable at the back - they conceded at least one goal in 8 of last 9 matches. I believe Ponte Preta will have chances to score and one goal should be enough to avoid loss.

I fully agree with market movement. Hosts are overrated.