I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements.

Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.20 in last two hours on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Both teams without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

I believe Sport Recife is extremely overrated in this game. They have been relegated in previous season from Serie A, now they fighting to back there, but for sure that not will be easy task - now they are 4 points behind top4. Guests form is not the best - they won only once in last 7 matches. They also have very poor record on the road as they won only one of 9 away matches. For me is very hard to see them as a fav here.

Operario lost in last round match at home against CRB, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Operario 2.66, for CRB 1.40. For sure they have big motivation to bounce back on good track front of home crowd. They won 50% (4/8) of home matches so far. If You look on the bigger picture - Operario is very solid team at home in Serie B standards. They lost only 13 of last 46 home league matches.

I agree with market movement here.