A great match to bet on in MLS!
2022-07-14

Tapio

外籍分析师

美职足

07/14 08:00

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Inter Miami CF VS Philadelphia Union


Inter Miami welcome Philadelphia Union for this MLS match at DRV PNK Stadium in Fort Lauderdale Thursday morning Beijing time. This is a surprisingly high-level league and offers often quite open and offensive football. It offers great entertainment for football fans! Teas from USA and Canada play this league which has improved significantly during the past say 5-7 years. There are many promising, mainly offensive players, from various South American countries earning their living in this league. These guys often have their career target in the best European leagues, and some do make it there! There are also quite a few big names - older players - playing in MLS – for example Gareth Bale just transferred to Los Angeles Football Club from Real Madrid where he played for a decade winning - one could say – everything!

A pretty balanced match is expected here today. The visitors are undoubtedly the better team by raw class and currently occupy the second place in Eastern Conference with 33 points to their account. However, I see them only as the third best team in this conference in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ raw class. New York City are one point behind them with one game less played so far. They have been slightly lucky in terms of especially expected goals - but also, most importantly, in terms of expected points so far this season. These are statistics commonly used by professional bettors to spot over-valued as well as undervalued teams and - at the end of the day to find good matches and teams to place a bet on. Philadelphia are once again over-valued by the bookies in an away match..

In their most recent match the visitors crushed a lowly team DC United 7-0 at home! Yes, they were the better team, but the final score does not reflect the events on the pitch. I would say 3-1 would have been a fairer result. DC United even recorded more dangerous attacks in this battle. We must also remember that they were big favorites in this match priced around 1.60 to win on the betting market. This crushing win got quite a lot of media attention and clearly affects the odds too much here.. Before this Philadelphia were a little disappointing despite taking a point from Columbus Crew on the road in a goalless match. Columbus are a strong team of course but I was surprised by the way they dominated the match with 65% ball possession and created 16 scoring chances. The visitors had just four. Columbus also recorded much more shots on target and completed passes. Moreover, the hosts’ P. Santos missed a penalty in the 19th minute..

Inter Miami have not been great recently, but we must remember that they do have potential for improvement and will probably climb up the standings as the season progresses. They lost their most recent against Orlando City 0-1 away from home as clear underdogs according to the bookies but played okay, better than expected for sure. The match was pretty balanced and both teams recorded just one shot on target. The home advantage in MLS is substantial and gets even bigger if a team has a long way to travel. I want to highlight that Inter Miami have been amazingly strong at home winning six of their latest seven games in front of their loud fans and taking one draw! Taking this important factor into account they should be narrow favorites here and with the recommended bet on them – as a draw would be enough – my fans and I have a 70% chance of winning again! 2-1 sounds like a probable score as the visitors do have the power to score against not always so solid Miami defense. The hosts will be without Acosta and Fray – Robinson’s and Shea’s situation is unclear at the time of writing this.

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