7/7 - very solid reasons to bet on it!
2022-07-13

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外籍分析师

解读理由:

In my opinion Miami have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

Miami coming for this game with good mental advantage as they didn't lost in last 3 consecutive matches against Philadelphia. I believe they are able to continue this streak today because in last weeks Miami looked superb at home.

Miami didn't lost at home in last 7 matches in a row in all competitions and in each game they scored more than one goal. On the other hand Philadelphia is not strong on the road at all - they failed to win in 28 of last 38 MLS away matches. They recorded only one win in last 8 away matches in all competitions, they had problems with creativity as they scored 8 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score even less (7.11).

Miami coming here with big motivation to win for 2 reasons: 1. they are not far away from play off zone, only 4 points behind Cincinnati with one match more to play. 2. They wants to bounce back soon as possible after unfortunate loss in derby against Orlando. They not played worse than opponents, but they lost by own goal in stoppage time. Coach Phil Neville said: “It was a brilliantly contested derby. I feel gutted for the players because they put in so much and to lose in the manner we did right at the last kick of the game…I suppose we’ve won ourselves late in the game, so we’ve got to take it, but it felt cruel because of the efforts we put in. We’ll just lick our wounds and go back to DRV PNK Stadium for a big game against Philadelphia on Wednesday.”

Philadelphia made huge win at home against DC United, but that looks awesome only on the paper. DC United is in horrible form and their defensive formation almost doesn't exist, they conceded more then one goal in 8 of last 9 matches and after loss against Philadelphia they finished cooperation with their coach. Philadelphia striker and best scorer Carranza looked superb in that game (scored 3 goals), but he is unavailable to play today because he is loaned from Miami.

All in all, I see excellent chances for Miami to make at least one point here. I don't see them as underdog in this game.


本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,迈阿密在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免输球。

迈阿密带着良好的心理优势来参加这场比赛,因为他们在过去的三场比赛中没有输给费城。我相信他们今天能够继续这样的连胜,因为上个星期迈阿密在主场表现很好。

在过去的7场比赛中,迈阿密在所有的比赛中都没有在主场输掉比赛,而且每场比赛他们都有一个以上的进球。另一方面,费城在客场根本不强——他们在过去的38场MLS客场比赛中有28场没赢。在过去的8场比赛中,他们在所有的比赛中只取得了一场胜利,他们的创造力存在问题,因为他们打进了8球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进得更少(7.11球)。

迈阿密带着巨大的动力来到这里,有两个原因:1。他们离比赛结束不远了,在还有一场比赛的时候只落后辛辛那提4分。2. 他们希望在德比中不幸输掉奥兰多之后尽快恢复过来。他们踢得并不比对手差,但他们在补时阶段被乌龙球输掉了比赛。主教练菲尔·内维尔说:“这是一场精彩的德比。我为球员们感到痛心,因为他们付出了那么多,却在比赛的最后一脚以我们的方式输掉了比赛……我想我们在比赛的最后阶段赢了自己,所以我们必须接受,但因为我们付出的努力,这感觉很残酷。我们只要舔舔伤口,然后在周三回到DRV PNK体育场,与费城进行一场重要的比赛。”

费城在主场对华盛顿联队取得了巨大的胜利,但这只在报纸上看起来很棒。DC曼联的状态很糟糕,他们的防守阵型几乎不存在,他们在过去9场比赛中有8场丢了不止一个球,在输给费城之后,他们和他们的教练结束了合作。费城前锋、最佳射手卡兰萨在那场比赛中表现出色(打进3球),但他今天不能上场,因为他是从迈阿密租借来的。

总而言之,我认为迈阿密极有可能至少在这一点上有所建言。我不认为他们在这场比赛中处于劣势。

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