Norway Day - BIG PRESSURE
2022-07-10

Aleksandar

足球分析师

挪超

07/11 00:00

已完赛

解读理由:

This is a type of bet that you might not be the biggest fan ever. The home team is 14th placed team in 16teams competition, and are really underachieving this season if we know they were predicted to fight for top6 this season too. Last season Valerenga ended 7th placed in league. Their today's rivals Kristiansund ended one place above on the standings. But at the moment, Kristiansund are also in crisis, as they sit last placed in Eliteserien with 1 point won in 10 matches (0-1-9) and have the lowest number of goals scored: 7 in 10 games. However, those two meet today in a direct clash. The odds movement makes now home team favorite more than the initial odds were saying: from 1.61 to 1.45 and I assume there is something bad (worse than expected) inside Kristiansund following my gut feel/experience. Even if Valerenga failed last season in two seasons to win over Kristiansund, I think they will make it today - despite the poor start to the season, the hosts have a decent team with some interesting internationals and have won 2 games at home at the start of this season, over newly-promoted Jerv and over Haugesund. Also, they were a better side than Ham Kam in a 1-1 draw at home too, but Valerenga couldn't do much over better sides as Rosenborg (0-4) and Odd (0-1). So, Valerenga should win the matches against teams in the lower table at home, but will have problems against bigger sides. The pressure is huge on the home team, as well on the away side to get some points, and we will see a nervy match where I expect the hosts to use the fans as the power to win the match and start escaping the red zone. Have some thought about penalty in the match for the home team, so if you have the option, put some "money for peanuts" on it.


主队在 16 队的比赛中排名第 14 位,如果我们知道他们本赛季也将争夺前 6 名,那么本赛季的表现真的很差。上赛季瓦莱伦加在联赛中排名第 7。他们今天的对手克里斯蒂安松在积分榜上名列前茅。但目前,克里斯蒂安松也处于危机之中,他们以 10 场比赛(0-1-9)赢得 1 分的成绩在精英联赛中排名垫底,并且进球数最少:10 场比赛中有 7 球。然而,今天两人在直接冲突中相遇。指数变动使得现在主队的热门赔率比最初的赔率更受欢迎:从 1.61 到 1.45,我认为根据我的直觉/经验,克里斯蒂安松内部有一些不好的(比预期的更糟)。即使瓦莱伦加上赛季在两个赛季都未能战胜克里斯蒂安松,我认为他们今天会成功——尽管本赛季开局不佳,但主队是一支不错的球队,有实力很强的国脚,本赛季初在主场赢得了 2 场比赛,分别战胜了升班马杰夫和豪格松。此外,在主场 1-1 战平的情况下,他们的表现也比对手更好,但瓦勒伦加在罗森博格 (0-4) 和奇数 (0-1) 方面表现不佳。所以,瓦莱伦加应该会在主场战胜排名较低的球队,但面对更大的球队时会遇到问题。主队和客队获得积分的压力很大,我们将看到一场紧张的比赛,我预测主队利用球迷的力量赢得比赛并开始逃离降级区。

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