I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.10 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Bragantino coming for this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Team is very disappointed after last matches and they wants to bounce back on good track soon as possible. They lost last two matches, but they really not deserved (in both matches Bragantino played better than opponents). On away: expected goals scored for Bragantino 2.67, for Athletico 2.03. At home: expected goals scored for Bragantino 1.41, for Botafogo 0.75.

Bragantino should be able to score goals against Avai - guests conceded more than one goal in last 4 matches in a row. On the other hand they have squad problems in attack - two key wingers Morato and Muriqi (both played in first squad in last round) are unavailable today. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on Avai performance.

Bragantino is clear favorite here for me and I agree with market movement.