Excellent bet from Copa Libertadores!
2022-07-07

Przem

外籍分析师

解放者杯

07/08 08:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Estudiantes have really good chances to win in today's match up.

First match between both teams finished with draw 1:1. That was close game, but today Estudiantes at home should be able to expose all weak points in Fortaleza.

Estudiantes have much bigger experience in competition - they already won Copa Libertadores 4 times, on the other hand it's first participation in this tournament for Fortaleza.

Estudiantes is extremely strong team at home in this competition - they won 10 of last 11 home matches in Copa Libertadores. It's superb streak and they have all required tools to continue. Fortaleza in current edition played once on away in Argentina, against River Plate, and lost 0:2. In past (2020) they also lost in qualies to Sudmericana against Independiente. For sure they not coming here full of confidence, Fortaleza lost last 3 consecutive away matches in Brazilian Serie A and in each game they conceded more than one goal.

I see huge advantage for Estudiantes in terms of fitness and schedule. For hosts it's 8th match since start of June, for guests it's already 11th match - it's huge difference. Estudiantes coming for this game with almost best possible line up - only defender Munoz is unavailable. According to ratings, Jorge Rodriguez is Estudiantes best player in current season, but in last league match coach Zielinsky used him only for 30 minutes, so he should be fresh and ready to play on the top level today. Fortaleza coming here without midfielder Hercules, defenders Ceballos, Landazuri & Tinga and offensive players Robson and Diepietri. That will be problematic because they don't have long bench with big quality.

Mental advantage is also on Estudiantes side - they don't have to panic about league situation, on the other hand Fortaleza after 15 league matches is in relegation zone, already 7 points behind safe place. Of course, it's nice go qualify into next stage of Copa Libertadores, but relegation it's always catastrophe.

All in all, Estudiantes looks like excellent bet.


在我看来,拉普大学学生在今天的比赛中获胜的机会非常大。

两队首场比赛以1:1战平。那是一场势均力敌的比赛,但今天主场的学生应该能够暴露福塔莱萨的所有弱点。

拉普大学学生的比赛经验要丰富得多——他们已经4次赢得南美解放者杯冠军,另一方面,这是福塔莱萨首次参加这项赛事。

拉普大学在本次比赛中是主场非常强大的球队——他们在南美解放者杯的最后 11 场主场比赛中赢了 10 场。这是极好的连胜纪录,他们拥有所有需要的工具来继续。当前版本的福塔莱萨曾在阿根廷客场对阵河床,但以 0:2 失利。在过去(2020 年),他们在资格赛中也输给了 Sudmericana 对阵独立。福塔莱萨肯定不是满怀信心来到这里的,他们在巴甲的最近3个客场连续输球,而且每场比赛都丢了一个以上的球。

我看到了拉普大学巨大的优势。对于主队来说,这是自 6 月初以来的第 8 场比赛,对于客队来说,这已经是第 11 场比赛了——这是巨大的不同。参加这场比赛的拉普大学生几乎是最好的阵容——只有后卫穆尼奥斯不能上场。根据收视率,豪尔赫罗德里格斯是本赛季大学生队最佳球员,但在上一场联赛中,主教练齐林斯基只让他踢了30分钟,所以他应该体能充沛的,准备好在今天的比赛中上场了。福塔莱萨没有中场赫拉克勒斯、后卫塞巴洛斯、兰达祖里和廷加以及进攻球员罗布森和迪皮特里。这将是有问题的,因为他们没有高质量的替补阵容。

心理的优势也在拉普大学身上——他们不必对联赛形势感到恐慌,另一方面,福塔雷萨在15场联赛后处于降级区,已经落后安全位置7分。当然,能够晋级南美解放者杯下一阶段是件好事,但降级总是一场灾难。

全部在总而言之,本场比赛拉普大学看起来是个不错的选择。

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