In my opinion DC United have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

I believe Orlando is really overrated in this game. Both teams played 3 league matches after international break - on the paper Orlando is in much better form (they recorded 4 points, DC 0), but this is not a true.

DC lost those three matches, but in each game played on similar level to the opponents. In their loss on away against Red Bulls: expected goals scored for DC 0.79, for Red Bulls 0.82, in their loss on away against Chicago: expected goals scored for DC 1.07, for Chicago 0.71. In their home loss against Nashville: expected goals scored for DC 0.79, for Nashville 0.82. As You can see they played better than their results shows and DC deserved for more points. Orlando after break looked good in home match against Houston, but in two other matches they not played good at all. In last round they lost 0:1 on away against Cincinnati: expected goals scored for Orlando 0.25, for Cincinnati 1.19.

Home/away stats as well confirming that odds on Orlando are simply too low. Orlando lost 4 of 8 home matches - scored 11 and conceded 14 goals. It's not so strong result. On the other hand DC United lost 4 of 6 away matches so far, but they really shouldn't. They scored 5 goals in away matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 8.11. They conceded 12 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede only 6.36. It's huge difference!

I trust models and without any shadow of doubt value here is on away side.