Nautico VS Novorizontino

Nautico host Novorizontino at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho in Recife for this round 16 of Brazilian Serie B early Sunday morning Beijing time. We have achieved great results - winning 5/6 of the picks on this league - the second tier of Brazilian football. This is a quite low-scoring league, and I would be quite surprised if we were to see many goals in this battle. A draw would probably be okay for most teams – neither one have fully convinced me offensively lately. Let’s remember Novorizontino are definitely the better team here by raw class, especially in terms of offensive players’ individual skill level, offensive structure and creativity. Both teams played a few days ago and we won a bet on both matches! Indeed, Nautico were pretty lame, especially offensively, even before Joao Paulo’s red card in the 64th minute. I suspect that they would not have won even without the sending off..

The hosts currently occupy the 17th place in this league of 20 teams total. They have grabbed just 15 points so far and I have lowered their power rating the reflects the teams’ pure class. They are definitely not in good form and I really struggle to understand we the betting market seems them as favorites.. In my opinion, the visitors are narrow favorites and with the recommend +0.5 goals handicap option we have an over 70% chance to win again betting on this league! Indeed, the hosts have not won any of their latest five matches! Moreover, they have won just one of their most recent 11 games! Even this 2-1 win away from home on the 5th of June over Brusque was a lucky one! The hosts had almost 57% ball possession and recorded more scoring attempts, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! A week ago, they were lucky to avoid defeat in the hands of Tombense away from home. It was a 1-1 draw, but the hosts were clearly the better team on the pitch. Novorizontino brought us an even easier than expected winner in their most recent match when they beat a quite good team Vasco 2-0 at home. They recorded much more scoring attempts, shots on goal, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! Weirdly the betting market saw them as underdogs in this match and seem to under-estimate them once again! The visitors did, however, show the potential they surely have taking an excellent 1-0 surprise win over a very strong team Bahia away from home some six days ago as massive underdogs according to the bookies.. Surely a huge boost for their self-confidence that will help them here as well.. I expect Novorizontino to climb up the standings as the season progresses!