Centro Sportivo Alagoano (CSA) VS Gremio

CSA host Gremio at Estádio Rei Pelé in Maceió for this Brazilian Serie B round 14 clash Friday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Brazilian football, and the level is, of course, considerably lower than that of the highest tier. Even so, it offers pretty good entertainment for football fans. Brazil, one of the best football countries on the planet is known for amazing strikers like “ The Original Ronaldo” and many other goal-scoring superstars, but this league is surprisingly tactical - and most importantly - low-scoring. Most teams play quite defensive, well-structured football. I see this match having an even lower goal expectancy than the betting market does. A draw would most certainly not be a surprise at all – the probability is 34% This would be enough for my fans and me to win again! The recommended bet of +0.5 goals on the hosts has a 66% chance of winning. Indeed, Gremio are currently in the 4th place in the standings with 21 points in the bank but have scored just 11 goals but also have allowed just four! CSA currently occupy the 16th place but have still grabbed respectable 14 points and have conceded just 10 goals. Brazilian people are enthusiastic about football and the home advantage here is substantial. Facing a famous club like Gremio must be one of the highlights of the season for home fans and CSA’s players! Gremio are a much bigger by financial resources, and a more traditional club than the CSA but are not performing at a level expected from them by the fans, the football media and, most importantly, the bookies. The visitors seem to get too much respect probably mainly because of great history.. They had a disastrous last season and were relegated. This was indeed a big surprise, and it seems that the club as a whole are still in disarray..

CSA have not lost any of their latest seven home matches – it seems the bookies indeed under-estimate their home advantage once again.! They have won three of these seven battles. Overall, they have lost one of their latest five matches. They were not quite at their best in their most recent match against Guarani away from home though but still grabbed a point from the goalless clash. They were, however, clear underdogs according to the betting market in this game. They did defend in a very organized way and the draw was a more or less justified result. Ball possession was 50-50%. Their most recent home match, against Chapecoense was also a draw – 1-1. They should be a little more efficient, creative offensively and pass the ball with a faster tempo to take more wins and climb up the standings. As of now they play pretty “boring” football. They do have the potential to find the net more often!

Gremio, on the other hand have not won any of their latest five matches on the road! This is quite disappointing indeed for a club of their caliber.. They, once again lacked, offensive creativity and structure in their most recent away match against Sport Recife and it was a 0-0 draw. Gremio were set as favorites by the betting market but in reality, the hosts were the better team on the pitch. The had close to 60% ball possession and recorded more scoring attempts as well as completed assists, attacks and dangerous attacks. Gremio were not convincing in their most recent match either despite the 2-0 home win over Sampaio Correa as huge favorites on the betting market. The visitors even recorded more scoring attempts and attacks.! Gremio would have to improve their level to go home with a win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周五上午，CSA将在Estádio Rei Pelé Maceió主场迎战巴西乙级第14轮比赛。这是巴西足球的第二高水平，当然比最高水平要低得多。即便如此，它还是为球迷们提供了很好的娱乐。巴西是世界上最好的足球国家之一，以“原始罗纳尔多”等令人惊叹的前锋和许多进球的超级巨星而闻名，但这个联赛的战术令人惊讶，最重要的是，进球少。大多数球队踢的都是防守严密、结构合理的足球。我认为这场比赛的预期目标比博彩市场还要低。平局绝对不会是一个惊喜，概率是34%，这足以让我和我的球迷再次赢!在东道主身上投注+0.5个目标有66%的机会获胜。事实上，格雷米奥目前在积分榜上排名第四，积21分，但他只打进11球，也只丢了4球!CSA目前排名第16位，但仍然获得了可观的14分，只丢了10球。巴西人对足球充满热情，这里的主场优势也很大。面对像格雷米奥这样的著名俱乐部，对家乡球迷和CSA的球员来说，一定是赛季的亮点之一!格雷米奥在财力上要比CSA大得多，也是一家比CSA更传统的俱乐部，但他们的表现没有达到球迷、足球媒体、最重要的是博彩公司所期望的水平。游客似乎得到了太多的尊重，这可能主要是因为伟大的历史。他们上个赛季惨败而降级。这确实是一个很大的惊喜，看起来俱乐部整体还是一片混乱。

CSA在最近的7场主场比赛中没有输掉任何一场，看来博彩公司确实再次低估了他们的主场优势。他们在这七场战役中取得了三场胜利。总的来说，他们在最近的五场比赛中输掉了一场。在最近的一场客场对阵瓜拉尼的比赛中，他们并没有达到最佳状态，但仍然在这场没有进球的比赛中获得了一分。然而，根据这场游戏的博彩市场，他们完全处于劣势。他们防守很有组织，平局或多或少是一个合理的结果。控球率是50% -50%。他们最近在主场对阵沙佩科恩斯的比赛也是1-1战平。他们应该更有效率一点，进攻上更有创造力一点，用更快的节奏传球，赢得更多的胜利，爬上排名。到目前为止，他们踢的足球相当“无聊”。他们确实有可能更频繁地上网!

另一方面，格雷米奥最近的五场客场比赛都没有赢过!对于他们这种水平的俱乐部来说，这确实很令人失望。在最近的客场对阵累西腓的比赛中，他们再次缺乏进攻创造力和结构，最终以0比0战平。格雷米奥被博彩市场视为夺冠热门，但实际上，东道主在球场上更胜一筹。他的控球率接近60%，并记录了更多的得分尝试，完成了助攻、进攻和危险的进攻。格雷米奥在最近的比赛中也没有令人信服，尽管他们在主场2-0战胜了桑帕约科雷亚，这是博彩市场上的大热门。客队甚至记录了更多的得分尝试和进攻。格雷米奥必须提高他们的水平才能带着一场胜利回家。