In my opinion Cruzeiro have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

Cruzeiro is the most successful team in history of this competition - they won already 6 titles, last time 4 years ago. At the moment they are in Serie B, but without any shadow of doubt they are the strongest team there - 10 wins in 13 matches and only 5 goals conceded. For sure they have big motivation to play against team for Serie A and to prove their power. What is impressive - Cruzeiro have not been knocked out in round of 16 in Brazil Cup since 2015. They didn't last 8 battles at this stage!

Fluminese in last year's not recorded good results in Brazil Cup - last time they played in final of this competition in 2007. Their main goal obviously is Serie A - at the moment they are on good 6th place, but they not deserved for this position. According to the expected goals scored/conceded model they should be on 16th(!!!). For example: they conceded 14 goals so far, but according to the models they should concede 20.4 - it's huge difference! They failed to win in 4 of last 6 matches, but only in win against Avai they had higher expected goals scored number than opponents.

Cruzeiro have huge advantage in scheduling before today's match. For Fluminese that will be third match in 8 days and they will play next Serie A match against Botafogo only 2 days later. On the other hand for Cruzeiro is only second match in 8 days and they will play next league match after 5 days break. It's huge difference, no doubt about that.

I see great value on away side in this prestigious match.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，克鲁塞罗有很好的机会在今天的比赛中避免输球。

克鲁塞罗是这项赛事历史上最成功的球队——他们已经赢得了6次冠军，上一次是在4年前。目前他们还在乙级，但毫无疑问他们是那里最强的球队——13场比赛10胜仅丢5球。当然，他们有很大的动力去对抗意甲球队，证明自己的实力。令人印象深刻的是，克鲁塞罗自2015年以来还没有在巴西杯16强赛中被淘汰。在这个阶段他们连8场战斗都没撑过!

弗卢米内塞在去年的巴西杯上取得了不佳的成绩——他们上次参加该比赛的决赛是在2007年。他们的主要目标显然是意甲——目前他们排在第6名，但他们不配得到这个位置。根据预期的进球/失球模型，他们应该在16号(!!)例如:他们到目前为止丢了14个球，但根据模型，他们应该丢20.4个球——这是巨大的差距!在过去的6场比赛中，他们有4场没有获胜，但只有在对阵阿瓦伊的比赛中，他们的预期进球数高于对手。

克鲁塞罗在今天比赛前的赛程安排上有巨大的优势。对于弗卢米内塞来说，这将是他们8天内的第三场比赛，他们将在2天后迎战博塔弗戈。另一方面，克鲁塞罗的比赛只是8天内的第二场比赛，他们将在休息5天后踢下一场联赛。毫无疑问，这是巨大的差异。

在这场久负盛名的比赛中，我看到了客场的巨大价值。