In my opinion Daegu have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match.

Currently Daegu have very strong streak against Jeju as they didn't lost in 9 of last 10 matches against them. OK, Jeju won last match between both teams at this stadium, but that was match for 'nothing' and Daegu simply tanked. Even You look at pre-match odds in that game - Daegu was priced as a favorite. I believe they should be fav also today.

10 points difference between both teams in league table, but Jeju recorded better results than they really should. They conceded 6 goals in 7 away matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 8.96. On the other hand Daegu is very solid team at home - 14 points in 8 home league matches, only Ulsan (leader of the table) made more points at home.

Daegu had extremely poor start of the season, but team was focused on Champions League - they won their group and get qualification into next round. Since then progress in results is visible as they didn't lost any of 7 league matches. On the other hand Jeju form slashed down a bit - they won only 2 of last 5 matches in all competitions. Season is still long and I'm able to imagine Daegu on higher position in league table at the end.

Daegu is not worse team on the paper, they aren't in worse form. They have great streak against Jeju at home. They have all required tools to make at least one point in today's match up and for me those odds are wrong.

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在我看来，在今天的比赛中，大邱队有很好的机会至少拿到一分。

目前，大邱对济州岛的连胜势头非常强劲，在过去10场比赛中，他们有9场没有输。好吧，济州岛在上一场两队的比赛中都赢了，但那是一场毫无意义的比赛，大邱队输了。即使你看看比赛前的赔率-大邱被定价为最受欢迎的。我相信它们今天也会很受欢迎。

虽然两队在积分榜上有10分的差距，但济州岛队的成绩超出了他们应有的水平。他们在7场客场比赛中丢了6球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢8.96球。另一方面，大邱队在主场的表现非常稳定，在8场主场联赛中得到14分，只有蔚山队(积分榜第一)在主场获得了更多的积分。

大邱队在赛季初的表现非常糟糕，但他们专注于欧冠——他们赢得了小组冠军，并获得了进入下一轮的资格。从那以后，成绩的进步是显而易见的，因为他们在7场联赛中没有输掉任何一场。另一方面，济州岛的状态下降了一点——他们在最近5场比赛中只赢了2场。赛季还很长，我可以想象大邱在联赛结束后会处于更高的位置。

从纸上看，大邱不是最差的球队，他们的状态也不是最差的。他们在主场对阵济州岛时表现出色。他们都有在今天的比赛中取得至少一分所需的工具，对我来说，这些几率是错误的。