02月05日热刺 VS 切尔西比赛分析直播
In my opinion Tottenham is extremely underrated in today's match up. I don't see Chelsea as such big favorite today.
In overall Chelsea don't likes to play on away against Tottenham - they failed to win in 11 of last 14 away league matches against Spurs. First match of the season between both teams at Stamford Bridge finished with draw 0:0 and I can image similar scenario today.
Obviously, Tottenham lost last two matches in a row and they looked bad in both of them. Jose Mourinho in these matches played with 3 defenders at the back, but that doesn't work at all. I believe today he will revert to the 4/4/2 and Tottenham will look much more solid. Tottenham is still without their captain and best player Kane, but Son (12 goals and 6 assists) for sure will be very dangerous. Jose Mourinho lost his last home league game against Liverpool, but in his long managerial career he never lost two times in a row at home in league.. Tottenham as well have very solid record in London derbies in current season - they didn't lost in 5 such matches.
Chelsea have new coach - Tuchel. They played two home matches with him on the bench, twice against bottom-eight teams. 0:0 against Wolves and 2:0 against Burnley. I don't see nothing special in these performances. Big ball possession, but that should works in Tottenham favour - Jose Mourinho loves to sit back and play from counters. Chelsea is very unstable away team - they lost 4 of last 5 away matches. Since start of last season Chelsea conceded 50 goals in Premier League away matches, in whole league only Newcastle conceded more.. Chelsea made only 2 points in last 5 matches against teams from 'big six' (Tottenham is included in that group).
For me these odds are incorrect. This is more like 50/50 game and draw looks like the most possible result for me. In that case great value on Tottenham double chance.
我认为热刺在今天的比赛中被低估了。切尔西不应该有这么受欢迎。
切尔西不擅长对阵热刺,他们在对阵热刺的最近14场联赛中没有11场胜利。两支球队在斯坦福桥的本赛季首场比赛以0:0结束,今天可能会有类似的情况。
显然,托特纳姆热刺连续输了两场比赛,两场比赛看上去都很糟糕。在这些比赛中,穆里尼奥(Jose Mourinho)派上三名后卫在后场,但这根本不起作用。我相信今天他将恢复到4/4/2的阵型,托特纳姆热刺将会更加稳固。热刺仍然缺少队长和最佳球员凯恩,但是孙兴慜(12个进球和6次助攻)肯定会非常危险。何塞·穆里尼奥输掉了上一场对阵利物浦的主场联赛,但是在他漫长的执教生涯中,他从未在联赛主场连续两场失利。托特纳姆热刺在伦敦的德比战中也有出色的战绩本赛季-他们连续5场德比战没有输球。
切尔西刚刚换了新教练-图赫尔。他带队执教了两个主场的比赛,两支都是倒数后八名的球队。对阵狼队0:0,对伯恩利2:0。这样的表现没什么亮点。拥有大量控球权,但这应该对托特纳姆热刺有利-穆里尼奥喜欢反击的打法。切尔西的客场战绩非常不稳定-他们在最近5场比赛中输了4场。自上赛季开始以来,切尔西在英超客场比赛中失球50球,而在整个联赛中只有纽卡斯尔比他们的失球更多。切尔西在最近5次面对“六巨头”的球队只取得2分(热刺属于BIG6)。
对我来说,这个指数是不正确的。这更像是五五开的比赛,平局对我来说似乎是最可能的结果,托特纳姆热刺有更大的机会赢球。预测热刺不败。