Value pick to bounce back 英超分享 利兹联vs埃弗顿
2021-02-03

Pavel

盈利高手

英超

02/04 03:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Leeds' injury concerns ahead of this game, as well as generously set odds for the home win - are two key aspects for a pick on Everton.


Hosts are all about attack under Marcelo Bielsa. I am sure, most of you are aware of his philosophy. This is why the potential absence of Rodrigo, Bamford and Raphinha could seriously hurt Leeds chances for success. The club is keeping cards close to their chest regarding the condition of mentioned trio, but even if some of them do start they are unlikely to be 100% fit. Bamford was the star of Leeds last league win against Leicester, but finished the game with an injury. Right winger Raphinha and supporting striker Rodrigo have also been in fine form of late.

With the 9-2-9 league record Leeds is deservedly considered one of the most inconsistent teams in the competition. It is supported by one of the poorest defensive records - 36 conceded goals is 1 goal more than bottom of the league Sheffield United. On top of that, Leeds is still sitting with a negative goal balance (-1), which speaks volumes about them as a team.

I insist, that the market and public are generally overrating Leeds more often than not. And tonight's odds seem as one of those cases. No matter how shaky Everton is heading into this game, they are still a class team with a superior squad and a decent manager in charge. The only sigificant absence for visitors is goalkeeper Pickford, but his recent form should make him barely missed. Plus backup in the face of former AS Roma 1st choice keeper (and Swedish international) Olsen is solid enough.

Should Leeds fail to field some of their attacking stars or lose them in-game to the knocks they are all carrying, Everton will have high chances of taking points from this trip. I believe, there is some value hidden in the (+1) at 1.48.

在马塞洛·贝尔萨的领导下,利兹联都在关注进攻。我相信你们大多数人都知道他的哲学。这就是为什么罗德里戈、班福德和拉芬哈的缺席会严重影响利兹的胜率。俱乐部对上述三人的情况守口如瓶,但即使他们中的一些人首发,他们也不太可能100%康复。班福德是利兹队上一场战胜莱斯特的比赛中的明星,但比赛结束时他受伤了。右边锋拉芬哈和支援前锋罗德里戈最近的状态也很好。

凭借9-2-9的联赛记录,利兹联队理所当然地被认为是比赛中最不稳定的球队之一。这支球队拥有史上最差的防守记录——36球失球,比排在联赛垫底的谢菲尔德联队多进1球。除此之外,利兹还处于负净胜球的状态,这足以说明他们作为一支球队的实力。

我坚持认为市场高估了利兹的价值。今晚的胜算就像这样。不管埃弗顿在这场比赛中表现如何不稳定,他们仍然是一支拥有优秀阵容和优秀教练的一流球队。唯一缺席客队的是门将皮克福德,但他最近的表现应该不会让他失球。加上后援,面对罗马的第一门将(瑞典国脚)奥尔森已经足够稳固了。

如果利兹不能派出他们的一些攻击型球星,或者在比赛中失去他们,埃弗顿将有很大的机会得分。

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