Hosts should win easily here.

Georgia plays great football, have won 7 of the last 8 games played (1 draw too) and against interesting teams like Bosnia, Sweden or Bulgaria too a few days ago.

In the Nations League they also easily beat Gibraltar (4:0) and North Macedonia (0:3), who drew 1:1 against Bulgaria.

They are a very strong home team because the atmosphere is amazing. More than 50000 fans are expected, so the hosts will be very motivated and with enough quality to win and assure the 1st position of the group.

On the other hand, Bulgaria is a mess. They have many internal scandals with the football federation, president, and even some players. Last week they already lost 2:5 at home against Georgia, where they were totally outplayed. But after that match they made an awful performance against Gibraltar (one of the worst teams in the competition) where they drew 1:1.

On Friday there was a bus crash when they arrived in Georgia, where a key midfielder was injured - Nedelev.

Less than a year ago both teams also played a friendly game where Bulgaria won 4:1 in Sofia, but that match was very suspicious from Georgia and for some reason they did not take it seriously and leaked easy goals, maybe some betting was involved. So I’m looking only at the serious game that they played a few days ago, where Georgia won 2:5 as said.

Hosts are much better side and will have much more motivation here. Guests are a total disaster and I don't see any reason to think that they should be able to improve their recent performances, where they showed that are not able to beat Georgia in normal circumstances.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

东道主应该能轻松赢得比赛。

格鲁吉亚踢得很好，在最近的8场比赛中赢了7场(1场平局)，几天前还对阵了波斯尼亚、瑞典和保加利亚等有趣的球队。

在国家联赛中，他们还轻松击败了直布罗陀(4:0)和北马其顿(0:3)，后者1:1战平保加利亚。

他们是一个非常强大的主队，因为气氛是惊人的。预计将有超过50000名球迷，所以东道主将会非常积极，有足够的素质赢得并确保小组第一的位置。

另一方面，保加利亚则是一团糟。他们与足协、足协主席、甚至一些球员都有很多内部丑闻。上周他们已经在主场2:5输给了格鲁吉亚，在那里他们完全被打败了。但在那场比赛之后，他们在对阵直布罗陀(比赛中最差的球队之一)时表现糟糕，1:1打平。

周五，当他们到达格鲁吉亚时，发生了一场车祸，一名关键的中场球员内德列夫受伤。

不到一年前，两队还在索非亚进行了一场友谊赛，保加利亚以4:1获胜，但那场比赛遭到了格鲁吉亚的质疑，出于某种原因，他们没有认真对待这场比赛，并泄露了一些轻松的进球，也许其中有一些赌博。所以我只看他们几天前的那场严肃的比赛，乔治亚2:5赢了。

东道主是更好的一方，在这里会有更多的动力。客人们完全是一场灾难，我没有任何理由认为他们应该能够改善最近的表现，他们在正常情况下无法击败格鲁吉亚。