Two great picks for the Friday!
2022-06-10

Borja

外籍分析师

欧国联

06/11 02:45

已完赛

欧国联

06/11 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

DENMARK - CROATIA

Denmark is at a fantastic level. Made a great Eurocup, World Cup Qualifiers (9 victories and one defeat in the last game with nothing on play, 30 goals scored and just 3 conceded), friendlies and in this group of Nations League they won both games against Austria and France, both 2:1 (in spite that were a bit lucky, especially against France).

Of course there will be some rotations here but don’t expect too many changes, as coach Hjulmand already made some rotations in the previous game against Austria.

They are in a great atmosphere and with huge motivation thanks to their great results recently.

But Croatia in the main reason for this pick. They are a mess now, in a period where are making many changed trying to add some new young faces to the national team, but obviously their great period where they were a TOP national team is already over.

They will be without several key players for this match: Persic, Modric, Brozovic, Kovacic, Gvardiol and other rotation players. According to local Croatian newspapers, the great midfielders trio (Modric - Kovacic - Brozovic) will rest here as they are exhausted and played too many minutes recently.

This will be probably be their lineup: Livaković - Stanišić, Erlić, Vida, Barišić - Jakić, Sučić - Vlašić, Pašalić, Oršić - Kramaric. Which is almost full of reserves and weak players.

Croatia played an awful game against Austria (0:3) followed by a meritorious draw 1:1 against France (with all the starters). But their current level is so poor and especially without their best players who won’t be here today.

I’m expecting dominance and victory by Denmark. They are in better shape, have a better squad and will put a better lineup in this match. Furthermore, they will be looking for revenge for the 2018 World Cup ⅛ finals where Croatia beat them in penalties (this is their first meeting after that).

AUSTRIA - FRANCE

There is no way to see France without achieving a victory here again.

Austria is a very weak national team with a huge lack of quality. They achieved an impressive victory 0:3 over Croatia in the opening round, and then suffered a deserved defeat 1:2 against Denmark. Played well, but quality made the difference there.

Recently they have been easily beaten by all serious teams (Netherlands, England). And for this match are forced to make rotations due to the high amount of games in a short period. And is here where we’ll really see how weak they are in comparación with top teams like France, who has 20 top players and Austria just a few.

France had two draws in the first two games but I’d say that both were undeserved, as they outplayed the rivals and deserved to win.

Are the strongest team in Europe and I can’t see them without taking the three points again. Have a very strong squad and even with some rotations, are several steps above Austria.

Only point here is the lack of motivation they may have in this tournament, which is the reason to see them conceding chances and goals easily. But Austria is an offensive team who will play an open game, and that’s great for France who feels very comfortable playing with spaces to run and make fast football.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

丹麦-克罗地亚

丹麦处于一个非常棒的水平。在欧洲杯、世界杯预选赛(上一场9胜1负,没有任何比赛,进了30球,只丢了3球)、友谊赛中,在这一组的国际联赛中,他们战胜了奥地利和法国,两场比赛都是2:1(尽管这有点幸运,尤其是对阵法国)。

当然这里会有一些轮换,但不要期待太多的变化,因为主教练赫朱尔曼德在之前对阵奥地利的比赛中就已经做了一些轮换。

由于他们最近取得了很好的成绩,他们现在处于一个很好的氛围中,有很大的动力。

但克罗地亚在这一选择中的主要原因。他们现在是一团乱,在一个试图为国家队增加一些年轻新面孔的时期,但显然他们作为一支顶级国家队的伟大时期已经结束了。

本场比赛他们将缺少几名关键球员:波斯奇、莫德里奇、布罗佐维奇、科瓦契奇、加瓦尔迪奥尔和其他轮换球员。根据克罗地亚当地报纸的报道,伟大的中场三人组(莫德里奇-科瓦契奇-布罗佐维奇)将在这里休息,因为他们最近太累了,踢了太多的时间。

这将可能是他们的阵容:Livaković - Stanišić, Erlić, Vida, Barišić - Jakić, Sučić - Vlašić, Pašalić, Oršić -克拉玛里克。那里几乎全是替补和弱球员。

克罗地亚在对阵奥地利的比赛中表现糟糕(0:3),在与法国的比赛中1:1战平(所有首发球员都是如此)。但是他们现在的水平很差,尤其是没有他们最好的球员,他们就不会有今天。

我期待丹麦的统治和胜利。他们的状态更好,阵容更好,在这场比赛中也会有更好的阵容。此外,他们还将为2018年世界杯八分之一决赛复仇,克罗地亚在点球大战中击败了他们(这是他们之后的第一次交锋)。


奥地利——法国

如果不再次取得胜利,就无法看到法国。

奥地利是一支非常弱的国家队,质量非常差。他们在首轮0:3战胜克罗地亚,然后1:2负于丹麦,这是他们应得的。打得很好,但质量决定一切。

最近他们被所有的劲旅轻松击败(荷兰、英格兰)。由于短时间内的大量比赛,我们不得不进行轮换。在这里,我们将真正看到他们有多弱,在comparación与顶级球队,如法国,有20名顶级球员和奥地利只有几个。

法国队在前两场比赛中取得了两场平局,但我认为这两场比赛都是冤枉的,因为他们战胜了对手,理应获胜。

他们是欧洲最强的球队,我无法想象他们不再次拿到三分。拥有一支非常强大的阵容,即使有一些轮换,也比奥地利高出几个级别。

这里唯一的一点是他们在这次比赛中缺乏动力,这是他们轻易失去机会和进球的原因。但是奥地利是一支进攻型的球队,他们会打一场开放的比赛,这对法国队来说很好,他们觉得在空间里奔跑很舒服,可以踢出快速的足球。

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