16/19 ON LAST GAMES ! BIG VALUE !
2022-06-07

Seleb

外籍分析师

解读理由:

gameday in Qarshi for the last round of the group A between Uzbekistan and Iran.

Uzbekistan will be full line up.

Iran will be without Alireza Bavieh.

Uzbekistan is ranked 1 with 2 wins for 7 goals scored & 0 goal conceded. Uzbekistan destroyed Qatar, they were more efficient than expected, they got 2,05 xG and Qatar got 0,42 xG. Against Turkmenistan it was a one side game but they couldn’t score more than one goal with 2,16 xG.

Iran is ranked 3 with 1 draw & 1 loss for 2 goals scored & 3 goals conceded. The first game against Qatar was an even game and the draw was logic even if I expect more by Iran. Against Turkmenistan they failed with a loss 1-2 where they were in big trouble offensively with 16 shots and got only 0,92 xG. They scored after 8’ and after they directly played with more stress of keeping the result.

As I said on the analogue yesterday, schedule on the Asian cup is difficult with a game very 3 days, conditions in Uzbekistan is very difficult as the weather is very hot. In all case Uzbekistan is first of their group so they will make rotation for this game and players will not force too much as they are aiming big on this completion as they are playing at home.

Iran is a great nation even if they failed until now in this tournament, they can count on good players as Salmani, Khodabandehlo, Hasmenejad etc.

No other choice than a win for Iran on this game. The DNB is the perfect spot.

I expect 0-1 or 0-2.


乌兹别克斯坦和伊朗之间的A组最后一轮比赛在卡尔什举行。

乌兹别克斯坦将全主力出战。

伊朗将缺少Alireza Bavieh。

乌兹别克斯坦以2胜7球0失球排名第1。乌兹别克斯坦摧毁了卡塔尔,他们比预期更有效率,他们得到了 2.05 的预期机器牛xG,卡塔尔得到了 0.42 xG。对阵土库曼斯坦,这是一边倒的比赛,但他们只能以2.16 的预期进球xG 只进一球。

伊朗队以1平1负进2球3失球排名第3。与卡塔尔的第一场比赛是一场平局,即使我对伊朗的期望更高,平局也是合乎逻辑的。在对阵土库曼斯坦的比赛中,他们以 1-2 的比分输球,他们在进攻端遇到了很大的麻烦,16 次射门,只有 0.92 的预期进球。他们在第 8 分钟之后得分,并且在他们直接比赛之后,保持结果的压力更大。

正如我昨天在模拟中所说的那样,亚洲杯的赛程安排很困难,一场比赛间隔只有 3 天,乌兹别克斯坦的情况非常困难,因为天气很热。无论如何,乌兹别克斯坦是他们小组中的第一名,因此他们将为这场比赛进行轮换,球员们不会太勉强,因为他们在主场比赛时将目标定在了完成上。

伊朗是一个伟大的国家,即使他们在这场比赛中失败了,他们可以依靠1萨马尼、霍达班德洛、哈斯梅内贾德等优秀球员。

除了伊朗在这场比赛中获胜之外别无选择。 客场不败是一个完美的选择。

比分参考0-1或0-2。

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