Very strong info for this game 欧国联冰岛VS阿尔巴尼亚
2022-06-06

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外籍分析师

欧国联

06/07 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Albania have excellent chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Odds on guests slashed down by 0.30 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Iceland coming to this game with very depleted squad. Today they will play without 8 players which played at least 25 matches in national team: defender Hermannsson, midfielders Traustason, Palsson, Gudmondsson & Sigurjonsson and offensive players Boovarsson, Kjartansson and Sigborsson (team top scorer with 26 goals). It's huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality of the squad. In my eyes Albania have much better squad, especially at the back. It's very visible in predicted line ups. Albanian defensive formation is builded from Serie A players like Berisha from Torino, Djimsiti from Atalanta, Kumbulla from Roma or Ismajili from Empoli - all of them are regular first team players, how to compare that with central defender Gretarsson who plays for poor Śląsk Wrocław from Poland (luckily avoided relegation in last season)? Iceland conceded 17 goals in last 6 official matches, even poor Uganda was able to score against them in friendly match. 4 days ago Iceland conceded 2 goals against Israel on away, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 3.56. Albania is much more solid - in last 8 official matches only two times they conceded more than one goal (on away against Spain and England).

Albania should be able to control middle zone with quality players like Cekici or Bajrami. Their strong, aggressive strikers Balaj and Cikalleshi should make a lot of troubles for Iceland poor defensive formation.

Easily I can imagine at least one goal for Albania today (probably even more), but I can't imagine more than one goal for Iceland. On those circumstances double chance on away side looks like great bet here.


在我看来,阿尔巴尼亚有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

客队的指数从亚洲大市场降低了 0.30,我完全同意这一趋势。

冰岛队以非常疲惫的阵容参加这场比赛。今天,他们将缺少 8 名在国家队中至少参加过 25 场比赛的球员上场:后卫赫尔曼松、中​​场球员特劳斯塔松、帕尔松、古德蒙松和西古尔容松以及进攻球员布瓦松、贾尔坦松和西格博尔松(队内射手 26 球)。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

我看到两支球队在阵容实力方面存在很大的差异。在我看来,阿尔巴尼亚的阵容要好得多,尤其是在后防线上。这在预测的阵容中非常明显。阿尔巴尼亚的防守阵型是由都灵的贝里沙、亚特兰大的吉姆西蒂、罗马的库姆布拉或恩波利的伊斯马吉利等意甲球员组成的作为一线队的常规球员,冰岛如何能和他们相提并论(幸运的是,上赛季避免了降级)?冰岛最近6场正式比赛丢了1​​7球,即使是可怜的乌干达也能在友谊赛中打进一球。

4 天前,冰岛在客场对阵以色列时丢了 2 个球,但根据预期的失球模型,他们应该丢 3.56 个球。阿尔巴尼亚更加稳固——在过去的 8 场正式比赛中,他们只有两次失球超过一球(客场对阵西班牙和英格兰)。

阿尔巴尼亚应该能够用 Cekici 或 Bajrami 等优质球员控制中场。他们强壮、有侵略性的前锋巴拉吉和奇卡莱希应该会给冰岛糟糕的防守阵型带来很多麻烦。

很容易我可以想象今天阿尔巴尼亚至少有一个进球(可能更多),但我无法想象冰岛有不止一个进球。在这种情况下,客队不败看起来是个不错的选择。

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