Two great Nations League picks! 两场欧国联赛事解析!
2022-06-03

Borja

外籍分析师

欧国联

06/04 02:45

已完赛

欧国联

06/04 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

CROATIA - AUSTRIA

This should be a tight game.

Croatia is playing so bad lately, especially in this Nations League tournament where they have lack of motivation, having won just 2 games out of 10 played (7 defeats). The team is still in process of change some players to replace the ones who are already old and in the last years of his career.

Many key players had a very long season with many minutes (Modric, Brozovic, Kovacic…) so must be physically in bad form. Topscorer and best striker Perisic is out, while is expected to give some rest to Luka Modric (who played in the Champions League final) in this first game of the tournament. We must remember that the teams will play 4 games in 10 days, so the rotations are mandatory.

Furthermore, the coach's father died this week so the preparation will suffer and surely their thoughts won’t be 100% focused in this game.

On the other hand, Austria has made good progress in recent years. They made a bad World Cup but is a difficult team to beat and in this tournament they achieved great results, having lost just two games (Bosnia and Romania) of 10 played with 6 victories and 2 draws.

I’m expecting high rotations in Croatia which aren’t a top team as they were some years ago, while I see Austria totally able to at least avoid the defeat here.

FRANCE - DENMARK

Hosts are highly favorites for me.

France has probably the best squad of this tournament (and one of the best in the world). The problem is that sometimes coach Deschamps put a very defensive lineup or system and the team doest show their best level. But they have the quality to be the winners here, as they were in the last edition.

They are in great form after making a bad Eurocup, beating top teams recently like Belgium and winning Spain in the last Nations League final played in October.

No important missings, surely there will be some rotations (like Benzema) but the whole squad of France is able to beat any rival. Offensively, France has the quality to score goals even without creating too many chances, while defensively they are a very solid team.

On the other hand, Denmark is improving a lot and are a very solid side with great results ately, but against very poor rivals. When they fancied a top team recently were outplayed (Netherlands, England, Belgium…).

Their strong point is upfront where they have a lot of quality, but I’m expecting a bored game dominated by France, waiting for their chance to score. And Denmark will struggle a lot with the French counters, as they have very fast strikers and great passers which can kill them with spaces.

Playing at home and with the huge quality gap here, I see France as the favorite to win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

克罗地亚vs奥地利

这将是一场势均力敌的比赛。

克罗地亚最近踢得很糟糕,尤其是在这次国家联赛中,他们缺乏动力,10场比赛只赢了2场(7场失败)。球队还在更换一些球员来取代那些已经老了的球员和在他职业生涯的最后几年的球员。

很多关键球员都有很长时间的出场时间(莫德里奇、布罗佐维奇、科瓦契奇……),所以身体状况肯定不好。头号射手和最佳前锋佩里西奇将缺席,而莫德里奇(他在欧冠决赛中出场)将在欧冠第一场比赛中得到一些休息。我们必须记住,球队将在10天内打4场比赛,所以轮换是强制性的。

此外,教练的父亲这周去世了,所以他们的准备工作将会受到影响,他们的思想肯定不会100%集中在这场比赛中。

另一方面,奥地利近年来取得了良好的进展。他们在世界杯上表现不佳,但却是一支难以击败的球队。在本届世界杯上,他们取得了出色的成绩,在6胜2平的10场比赛中只输了两场(波斯尼亚和罗马尼亚)。

我期待在克罗地亚的高轮换,因为他们已经不是几年前的顶级球队了,而我认为奥地利至少完全有能力避免在这里失败。


法国vs丹麦

我非常喜欢主队。

法国队可能是本届世界杯最好的球队(也是世界上最好的球队之一)。问题是,有时候德尚教练会设置一个非常防守的阵容或体系,而球队却没有展现出他们最好的水平。但他们有能力在这里成为赢家,就像他们在上一届一样。

他们在欧洲杯上表现不佳,击败了比利时等顶级球队,并在去年10月的国家联赛决赛中赢得了西班牙。

没有重要的缺阵,当然会有一些轮换(像本泽马),但是整个法国队能够击败任何对手。在进攻端,法国有能力在不创造太多机会的情况下进球,而在防守端,他们是一支非常稳固的球队。

另一方面,丹麦进步了很多,他们是一支非常稳固的球队,取得了很好的成绩,但他们的对手非常糟糕。当他们幻想一支顶级球队最近被击败时(荷兰、英格兰、比利时……)

他们的优势在前场,他们有很多的质量,但我认为这是一场由法国主导的无聊的比赛,等待他们的进球机会。丹麦队在与法国人的对抗中会遇到很多困难,因为他们有非常快的前锋和出色的传球,可以利用空间杀死他们。

在主场比赛,在这里有巨大的质量差距,我认为法国是夺冠的热门。

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