Confident value pick
2022-06-01

Pavel

盈利高手

欧洲预选

06/02 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

I am certain the market and the public are overestimating the impact of War situation on the Ukrainian National Team. You can get +0.5 handicap on the visitors now, which is a great offer all things considered.

Ukrainian football was put on standby mode by the Russian invasion into their country. However, they had done a lot of work to prepare for the key qualifiers (Scotland and then, possibly, Wales on June 5th). The National team stayed in Slovenia from May 1st for an entire month. They had 2 training camps that were spread apart by just 2 days off. During the rest of the time the players had been working in two sessions per day rhythm.

All of Ukrainian leading players represent foreign clubs: Yaremchuk (Benfica), Yarmolenko (West Ham), Zinchenko (Manchester City), Mykolenko (Everton), Malinovskiy (Atalanta) - this is already 5 from the expected starting 11 tonight. Let’s not forget Ukraine has further options in the face of Zubkov (Ferencvaros) and Sobol (Brugge) - should the manager need to put as many in-form players as possible.

There is also an x-factor of extra motivation for Ukraine due to the grim times for their country. They will definitely be more keen than ever to give the people of Ukraine something to cheer about.

Scotland is definitely nothing special as a team. Besides, they are set to miss one of their key figures tonight - Kieran Tierney (Arsenal) with injury.

Some of their leading players in attack, Gilmour (Chelsea) and Che Adams (Soton) are both off form coming into the game. Adams last scored in February for the club (vs. Norwich), while Gilmour successfully finished last in the league with Norwich, where he was on loan from Chelsea.

Scotland finished both of their friendlies in 2022 in draws (1-1 and 2-2 against Poland and Austria respectively). The year before on home soil they struggled with Austria (2-2) and Israel (3-2), on both occasions allowing a lot of chances around their own box.

I am positive Ukraine will find a way to score tonight and could push this game into extra-time, at least.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我确信市场和公众高估了战争形势对乌克兰国家队的影响。乌克兰不败,这是一个伟大的提供所有的事情考虑。

俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后,乌克兰足球进入了待命状态。然而,他们已经做了很多工作来备战关键的预选赛(苏格兰,然后可能是6月5日的威尔士)。国家队从5月1日起在斯洛文尼亚待了整整一个月。他们有两个训练营,相隔两天休息。在剩下的时间里,球员们每天有节奏地训练两次。

所有的乌克兰主力球员都代表着外国俱乐部:亚雷姆丘克(本菲卡)、亚莫连科(西汉姆联)、津琴科(曼城)、米科连科(埃弗顿)、马林诺夫斯基(亚特兰大)——这已经是今晚预计首发11人中的5人了。别忘了,面对祖布科夫(费伦克瓦罗斯)和索博尔(布鲁日),乌克兰还有更多的选择——如果教练需要尽可能多地安排状态良好的球员的话。

鉴于乌克兰的严峻形势,还有一个额外的激励因素。他们肯定会比以往任何时候都更渴望给乌克兰人民一些值得欢呼的东西。

作为一支球队,苏格兰绝对没有什么特别的。除此之外,他们今晚还将错过他们的关键人物之一——基兰·蒂尔尼(阿森纳)的伤病。

他们的一些主要进攻球员,切尔西的吉尔摩和索顿的切·亚当斯都在比赛开始时状态不佳。亚当斯上一次为俱乐部进球是在2月份对阵诺维奇的比赛中,而吉尔摩从切尔西租借来的诺维奇在联赛中排名垫底。

苏格兰在2022年的两场友谊赛中都以平局结束(分别以1比1和2比2战平波兰和奥地利)。前年在主场,他们曾与奥地利(2-2)和以色列(3-2)交手,两次都给了他们很多禁区内的机会。

我相信乌克兰今晚会找到进球的方法,至少可以把比赛推到加时赛。

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