The bookmakers have valued a Moreirense win vs Chaves at 1.90 odds, there's a little bit exaggeration of odds here if you consider the strength of these teams, so backing the hosts to win is a very valuable bet.

Moreirense host Chaves at the Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira in the second leg of the Portuguese primera league promotion.

The hosts head into this fixture with a two goal deficit from the first leg, now they have to turn the tie around in front of their home fans if they're to retain their spot in the Portuguese primera league.

The visitors put up a good display in the first leg but were unlucky to not get at least a point, they had a better xG in the first leg, accumulating a 0.56 xG compared to Chaves' 0.43.

Despite finishing sixteenth, Moreirense are a decent side at home this season this season compared to their fellow relegation strugglers, and they should be able to pick up a win at home to a second division team.

Moreirense have won two of their last three games at home this season, a 4-1 win against Vizela two weeks ago to secure a playoff spot, and a two nil win vs Tondela last month. They have the better players and are definitely capable of turning this fixture around to secure top flight football.

Despite the win last week, Vizela have won just one of their last three games in all competitions. Jose Mora's team have failed to win in eleven of their total seventeen away league games in the league this season, and aren't expected to do any better today.

Backing Moreirense to win this game is the most obvious choice and it carries great value at 1.90 odds, they have better players, and they play at home, they are expected to do better against a team that is very poor in games away from home.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

东道主在首回合两球落后的情况下进入了这场比赛，现在他们必须在主场球迷面前扭转战局，如果他们想要继续留在葡萄牙顶级联赛中。

客队在首回合表现出色，但不幸的是没有拿到一分，他们在首回合的xG更好，累积了0.56 xG，而查韦斯的0.43 xG。

尽管排在第十六名，但与其他保级球队相比，莫雷伦斯本赛季在主场表现不错，他们应该能够在主场战胜乙级球队。

本赛季在主场的三场比赛中，莫雷伦斯赢了两场，两周前他们4比1战胜了维泽拉，确保了一个季后赛席位，上个月他们又以2比0战胜了通德拉。他们有更好的球员，绝对有能力扭转局面，确保顶级联赛。

尽管上周取得了胜利，但在最近的三场比赛中，维拉只赢了一场。何塞·莫拉的球队在本赛季联赛的17场客场比赛中有11场没有赢球，预计今天也不会有任何起色。

支持莫雷伦斯赢得这场比赛是最明显的选择，赔率为1.90，这很有价值，他们有更好的球员，他们在主场比赛，他们被期望在对阵一支在客场比赛中表现很差的球队时表现更好。