Two good Libertadores picks!
2022-05-26

Borja

外籍分析师

解放者杯

05/27 08:00

已完赛

解放者杯

05/27 08:00

已完赛

解读理由:

CORINTHIANS - ALWAYS READY

Corinthians need at least one point to qualify, but surely will play strong here. Usually, brazilian teams use to dominate this competition, as they have much more quality and Corinthians isn’t an exception. They are one of the strongest teams in Libertadores.

Are full of confidence thanks to a great start of the campaign in the Brazilian Serie A, where they are at the top after 7 rounds. Key player Fagner is back from injury and available, while goalkeeper Cassio is out (but has a good replacement in Matheus Donelli).

They have the same points as Deportivo Cali, so will try to score as many goals as possible here in order to finish 1st in the group and play the first game of the next round (⅛ finals) at home.

Always Ready is the main reason for this pick. They have been strong at home in La Paz with the home advantage (altitude), where they beat Corinthians 2:0 and drew vs Deportivo Cali, but playing away achieved poor results, like their defeat 2:0 vs Boca Juniors and could have been more. Boca is a similar team to Corinthians, so we can expect a similar result here.

But there 's more. Always Ready, who is at the bottom of the group, is already out of the competition, they don't have chances even for the 3rd place (Sudamericana), so they play for nothing here. That’s why the coach will use a team full of reserves. The main players didn't even travel to Brazil. The reason is that on the weekend they will play a very important game for the playoffs of the league, just two days before this fixture.

Seeing how weak Always Ready is playing away, the fact that hosts will have huge motivation and try to win by a big difference, plus the weak squad that guests will use, we should see at least 3-4 goals difference by Corinthians here.


科林蒂安至少需要一分才能获得资格,但肯定会在这里发挥出色。通常,巴西队在这场比赛中占据主导地位,因为他们的实力更强,科林蒂安也不例外。他们是解放者队中最强的球队之一。

由于在巴西意甲联赛开局良好,他们充满信心,他们在7轮比赛后位居榜首。关键球员法格纳伤愈复出,可以上场,而门将卡西奥缺阵(但马修斯·多内利是一个很好的替代者)。

他们和拉科鲁尼亚卡利积分一样,所以会尽量在这里打进尽可能多的球,以取得小组第一,并在主场打出下一轮(⅛决赛)的第一场比赛。 时刻准备是这个选择的主要原因。他们凭借主场优势(海拔)在拉巴斯主场表现强劲,在那里他们以 2:0 击败科林蒂安并战平了拉科鲁尼亚卡利,但客场比赛取得了糟糕的成绩,比如他们以 2:0 击败博卡青年队,本可以更多。博卡是一支与科林蒂安类似的球队,所以我们可以期待在这里得到类似的结果。

但还有更多。小组垫底的时刻准备已经退出了比赛,他们连第三名(南美)都没有机会,所以他们在这里白打。这就是为什么教练会使用一支充满预备队的球队。主要球员甚至没有前往巴西。原因是周末他们将在本场比赛前两天为联盟季后赛打一场非常重要的比赛。

看到时刻准备在客场打得有多弱,主队会有很大的动力并试图以巨大的差距取胜,再加上客队使用的弱小阵容,我们应该在这里看到科林蒂安至少 3-4 的净胜球。


BOCA JUNIORS - DEPORTIVO CALI

Boca Juniors is full of confidence and motivation after winning the Copa Argentina title last weekend against Tigre, where they beat them 3:0. Now their next target is to qualify for the next round of Libertadores, and they must win to do it.

Will have a huge home support and have enough quality to do it. Stater RB Luis Advíncula is out due to an injury, but has replacements on Nicolás Figal or Marcelo Waigandt.

They are playing so well lately, my only worry is their fitness as they may be a bit tired due to the huge amount of games, but I see them able to qualify. Argentinian teams use to dominate this competition along with the Brazilians (Boca is the only Argentinian team who hasn't qualified yet, the other 5 teams already did).

In the previous game they lost vs Deportivo Cali 2:0 but had many problems in the lineup, with several key players out due to suspension.

On the other hand, Deportivo Cali will try to make a slow and boring game, as they just need one point to qualify. They have less quality and experience than Boca. For some young players, it will be their first game in a big scenario like Boca’s stadium, with huge pressure and support.

They have been a very irregular team in the league, and their performances in the Libertadores weren’t convincing.

Boca is strongly favorite for me to qualify, and I believe they will win and do it.


博卡青年队在上周末3:0战胜蒂格雷夺得阿根廷杯冠军后,充满了信心和动力。现在他们的下一个目标是获得下一轮解放者的资格,他们必须赢才能做到这一点。 将有巨大的家庭支持,并有足够的质量来做到这一点。

Stater RB Luis Advíncula 因伤缺席,但有 Nicolás Figal 或 Marcelo Waigandt 的替补。

他们最近表现得很好,我唯一担心的是他们的身体状况,因为他们可能会因为大量的比赛而有些疲倦,但我认为他们能够晋级。阿根廷队与巴西队一起统治了这场比赛(博卡是唯一一支尚未晋级的阿根廷队,其他5支球队已经晋级)。

上一场他们2:0负于拉科鲁尼亚卡利,但阵容问题不少,几名主力球员因停赛缺阵。

另一方面,拉科鲁尼亚卡利将尝试打出一场缓慢而乏味的比赛,因为他们只需要一分就可以晋级。他们的实力和经验不如博卡。对于一些年轻球员来说,这将是他们在博卡球场这样的大场景中的第一场比赛,压力和支持都很大。

他们在联盟中一直是一支非常不规则的球队,他们在解放者的表现并不令人信服。 博卡是我最喜欢的资格,我相信他们会赢并做到这一点。

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