In my opinion Lillestrom have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Valarenga have really solid record against Lillestrom as they didn't lost in 21 of last 26 matches against them. Valarenga didn't lost in last 3 consecutive matches at this stadium and even not conceded a single goal during that run.

Valarenga coming for this game after loss on away against Stromsgodset, but that was extremely undeserved result: expected goals scored for Valarenga 2.53, for Stromsgodset 1.15. Guests coming for this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Lillestrom is leader of the table after 8 rounds, but without any shadow they had a lot of luck and they are not team with potential to win a league. Previous season they finished at 4th place. Lillestrom is extremely lucky - they scored so far 17 goals in 8 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 9.2 (!!!). It's huge difference. They conceded 5 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should concede 8.52. In addition to that two defenders which played in last round match Ogbu and Rosler are very doubtful today.

On those circumstances I see excellent value on away side. I simply cannot trust for hosts.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，利勒斯特罗姆有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少一分。

瓦伦加在对阵利勒斯特罗姆的比赛中有很好的记录，他们在过去的26场比赛中有21场没有输。Valarenga在这个球场连续三场比赛都没有输，在这段时间里甚至没有丢一球。

Valarenga是在客场输给Stromsgodset之后来到本场比赛的，但这是一个极其不应得的结果:Valarenga的预期进球2.53,Stromsgodset的1.15。客队没有任何新的缺席，所以他们的队伍应该看起来完全一样的前一轮。

利勒斯特罗姆在8轮之后是积分榜的头名，但没有任何阴影，他们有很多运气，他们不是一支有潜力赢得联赛的球队。上个赛季他们排名第四。利勒斯特罗姆非常幸运——到目前为止，他们在8场比赛中打进了17球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只有9.2球(!!)。这是巨大的差异。他们丢了5球，但根据预期的得分模式，他们应该丢8.52球。除了在上一轮比赛中出场的两名后卫，奥格布和罗斯勒今天也很可疑。

在这样的情况下，我认为客队很有价值。我就是不能信任主队。