In my opinion Moreirense have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. I don't see Braga win with more than one goal margin.

H2H agrees with my prediction - in last 15 matches between both teams Moreirense only 3 times lost with more than one goal margin - all 3 games on away.

In 15 matches of current season Moreirense only 3 times lost with more than one goal margin - all of them on away and against top teams like Benfica or Porto. At home Moreirense is extremely solid - they lost only one of 8 home matches so far. In these matches they scored 11 goals which is not bad result (expected goals scored: 10.33). Defensive formation have good consistency and works well - they conceded 8 goals at home, but they should concede less (expected goals conceded: 5.67). In comparison to the previous round, they don't have any new absences.

Braga today without their best striker, second-best assistant and probably best player in team Iuri Medeiror - for sure this is big blow for the team. Without him for sure will not be easy to break Moreirense defense. Braga won only 50% of away matches so far (4/8). They scored 14 goals, but they should score less (expected goals scored: 10.97). Their defensive formation is not so solid as they conceded 12 goals in 8 away matches.

Lines are too high, Braga is not that big favorite here.

在我看来，在今天的比赛中，摩雷伦斯有很好的机会避免大的失败。我不认为布拉加以超过一球的优势获胜。

在过去的15场比赛中，摩雷伦斯只有3场比赛输掉了输球超过1球——所有3场比赛都在客场。

在本赛季的15场比赛中，莫雷伦斯只有3次输球超过1球，而且都是客场比赛，对手是像本菲卡和波尔图这样的顶级球队。在主场，莫雷伦斯的表现非常稳定——到目前为止，他们只输掉了8场主场比赛中的一场。在这些比赛中，他们进了11个球，这是一个不错的结果(预期进球:10.33)。球队防守质量不错，防守效果很好——他们在主场丢了8个球，但是他们应该丢的少一些(预计丢球5.67个)。与上一轮相比，他们没有任何新的缺席。

今天的布拉加失去了他们最好的前锋梅德拉斯，这对球队来说无疑是一个巨大的打击。没有他球队肯定不会轻易打破摩雷伦斯的防守。布拉加目前为止只赢了50%的客场比赛(4/8)。他们进了14个球，但他们应该少进一点(预期进球:10.97)。他们的防守阵型不太稳固，他们在8场客场比赛中丢了12个球。

看好摩雷伦斯不败或小负