Win with me or get Your money back!
2022-05-22

Przem

外籍分析师

西甲

05/23 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Bilbao have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

I see huge difference between both teams in terms of motivation to win in this game.

Sevilla for sure will finish season in top4 - that was their main goal and it's great achievement, they will play in Champions League qualies next year. Sevilla team motivation is under big question mark - that was long and challenging season for them as they played in many competitions. Form slashed down visibly in last weeks - they won only once in last 5 La Liga matches - on away against relegated Levante, but even in that game they had expected goals scored number lower than their opponents. Squad rotation is possible, coach may want to give chance for second-choice players.

Bilbao is on 8th place and they still have chances to finish inside top7 and grab a spot in European Cups for next season. For sure motivation is on the highest possible level. They coming for this game with almost best possible line up - only midfielder Vencedor is unavailable. Bilbao currently is in very good form - they recorded 10 points in last 5 matches. Defensive looks solid and consistent - they kept clean sheet in 3 of last 4 matches. They are solid away team as they conceded only 17 goals in 18 away matches and lost only 5 times. According to the expected goals scored model they should achieve even better results - they scored only 14 goals in away matches, but according to the model they should score 23.68. It's huge difference.

Bilbao didn't lost in last two consecutive matches at this stadium, in previous season they were able to win 1:0 and I trust them today.


在我看来,毕尔巴鄂有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

我看到两支球队在动力方面存在巨大差异。

塞维利亚肯定会在赛季结束时进入前四——这是他们的主要目标,这是一个了不起的成就,他们明年将参加欧冠资格赛。塞维利亚队的动力受到了很大的问号——对他们来说,这是一个漫长而充满挑战的赛季,因为他们参加了许多比赛。上周的状态明显下降——他们在过去 5 场西甲比赛中只赢了一次——在客场对阵降级的莱万特时,但即使在那场比赛中,他们的预期进球数也低于对手。轮换是可能的,教练可能想给二线球员机会。

毕尔巴鄂目前排在第8位,他们仍有机会进入前7名,并在下赛季的欧洲杯中占据一席之地。可以肯定的是,动机处于最高水平。他们以几乎最好的方式来参加这场比赛排队 - 只有中场球员 Vencedor 不可用。毕尔巴鄂目前状态非常好——他们在最近 5 场比赛中得到 10 分。防守看起来稳固而稳定——他们在过去 4 场比赛中有 3 场保持不失球。他们是稳固的客场球队,他们在18场客场比赛中只丢了17球,只输了5次。根据预期进球模型,他们应该会取得更好的成绩——他们在客场比赛中只进了14球,但根据进球模型,他们应该进23.68球。这是巨大的差异。

毕尔巴鄂在这座球场的最后两场比赛中没有输球,上赛季他们能够以 1:0 取胜,我相信他们今天一样可以如此。

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