Who will win the title today?!
2022-05-21

Przem

外籍分析师

德国杯

05/22 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion RBL have really good chances to win title today.

In previous season RBL recorded two comfortable wins 3:0 against Freiburg. In current season two matches between both teams finished with draw 1:1, but that wasn't fully deserved for RBL - twice they had higher expected goals scored number than their opponents.

RBL don't have any absences and coming to this game with the strongest possible line up, on the other hand Freiburg is without 3 midfielders - Schade, Weisshaupt and Keitel.

Experience for sure is on RBL side - it's their their Cup Final in last 4 years. They lost previous two finals, but they played against top teams - Bayern and Borussia. Now easier opponents with much smaller experience. Freiburg have a chance to win first major title in club history. For sure team will be very nervous - we saw it at the end of the Bundesliga season. They had chances to finish inside top4 and get a place in Champions League, but they failed badly and lost last two matches (6 goals conceded in the process).

RBL finished only two places above Freiburg in league table, but for me difference between both teams is very visible at both ends of the pitch. RBL created 83 big chances to score (only Bayern created more), Freiburg created only 52 (bottom half of the table). RBL conceded 1.1 goals per game (best result in whole league), Freiburg 1.4. RBL also is much better team with the ball with 450 accurate passes per game (56.5% average ball possession) - Freiburg is bottom half of the table in both departments. It's huge difference.

Central defender Nico Schlotterbeck is Freiburg best player in current season, but he already have agreement with Borussia and for me his focus is under big question mark. He was the worst player on the pitch against Union (1:4) in last Freiburg home game in Bundesliga season. On the other hand RBL offensive star Christopher Nkunku received player of the season award and he fully deserved for that - he was outstanding in all competition: 34 goals and 18 assists in 51 matches. He scored 4 goals in last 4 matches and he will be very hard to stop today.

RBL have all required tools to make win today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在上个赛季,RBL在与弗莱堡的比赛中取得了2场3:0的轻松胜利。在本赛季的两场比赛中,两队1:1打平,但这对RBL来说并不是完全应得的——他们两次比对手的预期进球数更高。

RBL没有任何缺阵,他们带着最强的阵容来参加这场比赛,另一方面,弗莱堡缺少3名中场——沙德、威绍普特和凯特尔。

经验肯定是属于RBL的——这是他们过去4年的杯赛决赛。他们前两次都输掉了决赛,但他们的对手是顶级球队——拜仁和博鲁西亚。现在是经验少得多的更容易的对手。弗莱堡有机会赢得俱乐部历史上的第一个主要冠军。当然球队会非常紧张,我们在德甲赛季结束时就看到了。他们有机会进入前四并进入欧冠,但他们输得很惨,输掉了最近两场比赛(输掉了6个球)。

RBL在积分榜上只比弗莱堡高出两名,但对我来说,两支球队在球场两端的差异是非常明显的。RBL创造了83次进球机会(只有拜仁创造了更多),弗莱堡只创造了52次(排名下半部分)。RBL场均失球1.1个(全联盟最好的成绩),弗莱堡1.4个。RBL也是一支更好的球队,每场比赛有450个准确的传球(56.5%的控球率)-弗莱堡在这两个方面都是垫底的。这是巨大的差异。

中后卫尼科·斯洛特贝克是弗莱堡本赛季最好的球员,但他已经和博鲁西亚达成协议,对我来说,他的焦点是一个大问号。他是上赛季弗莱堡主场对阵联盟的比赛中表现最差的球员(1:4)。另一方面,RBL进攻明星克里斯托弗·恩昆库获得了赛季最佳球员奖,这是他当之无愧的——他在所有比赛中都表现出色:在51场比赛中攻入34球和18次助攻。他在过去的4场比赛中打进了4个球,今天他将很难被阻止。

RBL今天已经拥有了取胜所需的所有工具。


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