An AMAZING BET for Finnish Ykkönen! 芬甲 查普斯vs科特卡
2022-05-20

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬甲

05/20 23:30

已完赛

查普斯
1:0
科特卡
解读理由:

JäPS VS KTP


JäPS host KTP for this Finnish Ykkönen clash at Järvenpään Keskuskenttä in front of around 350 home fans who are not very enthusiastic. Overall, the home advantage in Ykkönen is lower than in most European leagues. This is the 2nd tier of my home country’s football. My fans can expect to make exceptionally big profits betting on Finnish football and will actually be in Järvenpää today watching the match. I watch all the matches either live or on TV – many of them twice! This a low-level league and few players are full time professionals.. However, KTP have more than four times bigger players’ salary budget than the hosts – about 240 000 euros. They were relegated from Veikkausliiga for this season and are a traditional club with a great history. They have the players to return to Veikkausliiga for the 2023 season. Promotion would not be a surprise! I recommend my fans to follow especially KTP’s Spanish striker Miguel Angel Junco Martinez, 29, closely. He has found the net in two of KTP’s latest matches and is a tough challenge for the hosts’ abysmal defense to try to keep at bay! KTP have other very good offensive players as well and are a well-structured team overall. Their coach Jussi Leppälahti is also a talented young coach. The hosts, on the other hand, were promoted from Kakkonen, a very low-level league, and have challenging season ahead. In my opinion, Kakkonen is where they belong to.. We might have a chance to bet on them when/if the betting market suddenly starts to under-value this weak team later this season. Overall, bookies are very often totally wrong with their odds and react too much on just one or two matches!

JäPS have hugely over-performed this season and even the 1-10 (!!) loss to Gnistan in Oulunkylä has not made the betting market understand how weak a team they are. Gnistan are not even a great team.. The hosts have taken five points from as many matches. However, they would have deserved just one or perhaps maximum two points. In their most recent match, they took all three points at home from an average team, Ekenäs IF, who are normally not strong on the road. It was indeed a lucky 1-0 win as they visitors dominated the match with 61% ball possession and created almost 20 scoring attempts and much more shots on target dangerous attacks. 0-2 would have been a justified result! KTP are, of course, a better team than Ekenäs IF and have a 66% chance of winning today. They have won two of their three matches this season and taken one draw. Moreover, against both KPV and Jaro JäPS had a lot of luck on their side to keep a clean sheet as the opponent created a big number of scoring chances but both were goalless draws. JäPS’ offensive game, on the other hand, was very limited and I do not see them having room for improvement.. Against TPS they had no chance at all and lost 0-3 at Veritas Stadion in Turku. KTP should have the tools to break the hosts’ defense here. The visitors are capable of moving the ball fast and also put pressure on the opponent’s inexperienced for this level defenders. Lastly I want to mention that KTP took an impressive win in their most recent match in Kokkola. KPV are a strong team, but KTP returned to Kotka with all three points in the pocket with a 3-1 win after a very solid performance!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

JäPS主办KTP的芬兰Ykkönen冲突Järvenpään Keskuskenttä在350名不是很热情的国内球迷面前。总的来说,Ykkönen的主场优势低于大多数欧洲联赛。这是我的祖国足球的二级水平。我的球迷们可以期待通过对芬兰足球的押注获得异常丰厚的利润,他们今天会在Järvenpää观看比赛。我看所有的比赛,要么是现场直播,要么是电视直播——很多比赛我看了两次!这是一个低水平的联赛,很少有球员是全职的职业球员。然而,KTP球员的工资预算是东道主的四倍多,约为24万欧元。他们本赛季从维考斯利加降级,是一家有着伟大历史的传统俱乐部。他们有球员在2023赛季回到维考斯利加。晋升不会是一个惊喜!我建议球迷们密切关注KTP 29岁的西班牙前锋米格尔·安赫尔·朱科·马丁内斯。在KTP最近的两场比赛中,他都进了网,对于东道主糟糕的防守来说,他是一个艰巨的挑战!KTP也有其他非常好的进攻球员,整体来说是一支结构良好的球队。他们的教练居西Leppälahti也是一位才华横溢的年轻教练。另一方面,东道主是从卡科宁(Kakkonen)这个低级别联赛升级过来的,接下来的赛季充满挑战。在我看来,Kakkonen才是它们的归属。如果这个赛季晚些时候博彩市场突然开始低估这支弱队的价值,我们也许有机会押注他们。总的来说,赌徒经常完全错误地估计他们的赔率,在一到两场比赛中反应过度!

JäPS这个赛季的表现非常好,甚至在Oulunkylä 1-10输给Gnistan(!!)也没有让博彩市场了解他们是多么弱的一支球队。尼斯坦甚至不是一支伟大的球队。东道主在两场比赛中都拿了5分。然而,他们应该得到1分或者最多2分。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场拿下了一支普通球队(Ekenäs IF)的全部三分,后者通常在客场表现不佳。这确实是一场幸运的1-0的胜利,客队以61%的控球率控制了比赛,创造了近20次射门机会,更多的射门是针对目标的危险攻击。0-2本应该是一个合理的结果!KTP当然比Ekenäs IF更好,今天有66%的机会获胜。他们在本赛季的三场比赛中赢得了两场,并取得了一场平局。此外,对KPV和Jaro的比赛,JäPS在他们的队伍中运气很好,因为对手创造了大量的进球机会,但都是0 - 0平局。JäPS的进攻游戏,另一方面,是非常有限的,我没有看到他们有改进的空间。对阵TPS时,他们完全没有机会,在图尔库的维里塔斯球场0:3输了。KTP应该有工具打破宿主的防御。客队有能力快速带球,也会给对手缺乏经验的防守队员带来压力。最后,我想提一下KTP在最近的Kokkola比赛中取得了令人印象深刻的胜利。KPV是一支强大的球队,但是KTP回到了科特卡,在一个非常稳定的表现后,3-1赢得了所有的三分!

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