FC Paris vs Sochaux

FC Paris host Sochaux at Stade Charlety early Wednesday Beijing time for this quarter final battle. I will keep this preview short as the odds on Sochaux are dropping as we speak. I often write quite long, in-depth previews as my fans can see taking a look the Monday’s previews – with a pick won - on Newcastle vs Arsenal, Juventus vs Lazio and almost all previews on Finnish football! Some previews have over 1000 words to offer my fans maximum value for their money! The stakes here are ultra-high as the teams are fighting for promotion to the highest level of French football, Ligue1, the 5th best league in the world. I expect a cautious, defense-oriented -perhaps even anxious, match from both teams as allowing an early goal might turn out to be fatal.. I see the goal expectancy even lower than the betting market and the probability of a draw is higher than in a normal League2 match. This increases our chances of winning the bet +0.5 goals on Sochaux. The probability is close 70%. Indeed, I see Sochaux as extremely narrow favorites. The betting market weirdly favors Paris though..

Paris seem clearly over-rated by the betting market here.. They did beat Grenoble 2-0 at home in their most recent match, but the visitors had nothing to play for and looked lazy on the pitch letting the hosts to control the match. I also want to mention that Grenoble are not a good team. Before this they narrowly beat Amiens, who placed only 14th in Ligue2, 2-1 away from home. It was not a good enough performance to beat a good team like Sochaux! The match was balanced, and a draw would have been justified. Amiens had 52% ball possession but Paris created one more scoring attempt.. Surely Paris can improve but will even that be enough.. I have my doubts..

Sochaux, on the other hand, would have deserved a win in their most match against Dijon, but it was a 2-2 draw at home. Before this they dominated Valenciennes at home but lost 0-1. The had close to 75% ball possession and created 14 scoring chances, the hosts had just six. Sochaux also recorded a lot more shots on target as well more dangerous attacks and completed over 400 passes more than Valenciennes. These unlucky results have affected to odds too much offering as a chance to continue the good streak of 8/10 won in days and 18/23 – many of these with good odds - in the past 3 days at the time of writing this around 21:30 Beijing time. Overall, the visitors have more potential, especially offensive, than we have seen this season..

北京时间周三凌晨，巴黎足球俱乐部将在查莱蒂体育场迎战索肖，参加本次四分之一决赛。我将保持简短的预览，因为我们说话时索肖的赔率正在下降。我经常写很长，深入的预览，因为我的粉丝可以看到周一的预览 - 以一个选秀权获胜 - 纽卡斯尔对阿森纳，尤文图斯对拉齐奥以及几乎所有关于芬兰足球的预览！一些预览有超过 1000 字，为我的粉丝提供物超所值的服务！这里的赌注是超高的，因为球队正在争取晋升到法国足球的最高水平，Ligue1，世界排名第五的联赛。我希望两支球队进行一场谨慎的、以防守为导向——甚至可能是焦虑的比赛，因为允许早期进球可能会是致命的。我认为进球预期甚至低于投注市场，而平局的概率高于在普通的 法乙比赛中。这增加了我们在 索肖上赢得 +0.5 球的赌注的机会。概率接近 70%。事实上，我认为索肖是非常狭隘的最爱。博彩市场奇怪地偏爱巴黎。

巴黎似乎明显被市场高估了。他们在最近的比赛中主场 2-0 击败了格勒诺布尔，但客队没有什么可玩的，在球场上看起来很懒惰，让东道主控制比赛。我还想提一下，格勒诺布尔不是一支好球队。在此之前，他们以微弱优势击败亚眠，后者在联赛2中仅排名第14位，客场2-1。这还不足以击败像索肖这样的好球队！比赛是平衡的，平局本来是合理的。亚眠拥有 52% 的控球率，但巴黎又创造了一次得分尝试。巴黎当然可以改进，但即使这样就足够了。我有我的怀疑。

另一方面，索肖本应在他们对阵第戎的大多数比赛中获胜，但在主场以 2-2 战平。此前他们在主场称霸瓦朗谢讷但0-1落败。拥有接近 75% 的控球率并创造了14次得分机会，东道主只有6次。索肖还记录了更多的射门次数和更危险的进攻，完成的传球次数超过了瓦朗谢讷 400 多次。这些不幸的结果影响了太多的赔率，因为在过去 3 天写这篇文章时，有机会继续在几天和 18/23 赢得 8/10 韩元的良好连胜 - 其中许多赔率很高 - 在撰写本文时大约 21北京时间：30。总的来说，客队比我们本赛季看到的更有潜力，尤其是进攻端。