In my opinion Juventus have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Juventus have excellent streak against Lazio as they won 12 of last 15 Serie A matches against them.

Juventus coach Massimiliano Allegri have excellent record against Lazio in Serie A as he won 10 of 11 league matches against them. On the other hand current Lazio coach Sarri (ex Juventus) lost 6 of last 9 games against Juventus in Serie A.

It's special game for Juventus superstar Paulo Dybala - it's his last game for Juventus at home and for sure he wants to show up. He scored 9 goals in last 15 matches against Lazio.

Lazio top scorer Immobile (27 goals in Serie A) is very doubtful for today's match.

Expected goals scored/conceded model fully agree with my bet. Juventus scored 23 goals in 18 home matches, but according to the models they should score 28.99. Lazio scored 33 goals in 18 away matches, but according to the models they should score only 24.60. It's huge difference.

Juve won 7 of last 8 home matches against Lazio and scored 19 goals in the process. Huge value on home side.

在我看来，尤文图斯在今天的比赛中获得3分的机会非常大。

尤文图斯在对阵拉齐奥的比赛中表现出色，他们在过去 15 场意甲比赛中赢了 12 场。

尤文图斯主帅马西米利亚诺·阿莱格里在意甲对阵拉齐奥的比赛中取得了出色的战绩，他在与他们的11场联赛中赢了10场。另一方面，现任拉齐奥主教练萨里（前尤文图斯）在意甲对阵尤文图斯的最后9场比赛中输掉了6场。

对于尤文图斯巨星保罗·迪巴拉来说，这是一场特别的比赛——这是他在尤文图斯主场的最后一场比赛，他肯定想出现。他在最近15场对阵拉齐奥的比赛中打进9球。

拉齐奥头号射手因莫比莱（意甲27球）对于今天的比赛非常值得怀疑。

预期进球/失球模型完全符合我的赌注。尤文图斯在18个主场比赛中打进23球，但根据模型他们应该得分28.99。拉齐奥在 18 场客场比赛中打进 33 球，但根据模型，他们应该只进 24.60 球。这是巨大的差异。

尤文在最近8场主场对阵拉齐奥的比赛中赢了7场，打进19球。主队赢球的价值很大。