Amazing LaLiga HOT streak continues?
2022-05-15

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

05/16 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Cadiz vs Real Madrid

Cadiz host Real Madrid for this LaLiga round 37 clash at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla early Monday morning Beijing time. A total of 38 rounds will be played. The Spanish LaLiga is a top3 league in the world and offers high-quality entertainment for football lovers. Both teams have had a pretty good season as the Champion finalists have already secured yet another LaLiga title. Cadiz, on the other hand, will probably play at this level next season as well. The championship is Real’s goal every season but last year Atletico Madrid managed to lift the trophy. Now Real have got their revenge and can concentrate on the final played in two weeks in Paris. Liverpool are the favorites in this match but Real surely has a chance as well..

First of all, as I already implied, Real Madrid have nothing to play left. We won, once again, last Sunday betting on LaLiga - when Tico defeated Real Madrid at home 1-0. The visitors, as I expected, heavily rotated their squad and most of their players did not have even close to 100% mental focus. Benzema, Vinicious and Modrid have been confirmed not to play here and even more rotating is expected.. Who is going to score for Real? Also, Alaba, Bale, Courtois, Isco, Jovic and Marcelo are out because of injuries. I do not think Real should even be favorites here, but the betting market disagrees.. We only need Cadiz to grab one point to take the 8th LaLiga winner in a row! The chance for this is over 65%. Our bet on Tico was indeed exceptionally good as the odds on them to win collapsed on the betting market 1-2 hours before the match as professional bettors and betting syndicates invested heavily in them! Real’s attitude was indeed disgracefully lazy - Casemiro, for example, was just laughing on the pitch despite his team trailing 0-1.. Some other players also seemed to be avoiding injuries and playing lazy, especially in defense. The same is expected from many players here – more or less. It was, in the end, very easy three points for Tico. We must also remember that Real are not as good as the standings reflect. They have grabbed a whopping 15 more points than they should have in terms of expected points. This is a statistic commonly used by professional football bettors. Real crushed the rock-bottom team Levante 6-0 at home a few days ago but I do not give this match too much emphasis as Levante have already relegated and had no will to fight left.

Indeed, the teams that end up in 18-20th place are relegated to Segunda Liga. Cadiz are currently in the 17th place with 35 points. Mallorca have just two points less, so Cadiz are super-motivated here. Even a draw would help them a lot. Cadiz have been unlucky this season and would have deserved seven more points than the 35 they have in the bank. They are a pretty small team and do not have any stars in the team. Once again, the betting market underestimates them, and we will use this to our advantage! They have a pretty good defense and play great as a team and have a great spirit within the organization. That have allowed less goals – 50 – than Valencia in the 10th place.. On Thursday Real Sociedad, a very strong team, were simply too good and won 3-0 at home but it was not quite this unbalanced on the pitch. Before this they completely crushed Elche 3-0 at home after total domination! They created 17 scoring chances – Elche had four. They also won the shots on target statistic 7-2 and had 3.5 times more dangerous attacks than Elche! The expected goals ratio was 2.16 – 0.07. Cadiz have enthusiastic fans - the home advantage is substantial!

GOOD LUCK!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间16日凌晨,在新米兰球场,加的斯主场迎战皇家马德里。共有38轮比赛。西班牙拉利加是世界上排名前三的联赛,为足球爱好者提供高质量的娱乐。这两支球队都有一个很好的赛季,因为冠军决赛已经确保了另一个冠军。另一方面,加的斯下赛季很可能也会达到这个水平。冠军是皇马每个赛季的目标,但去年马德里竞技成功举起了冠军奖杯。现在皇马已经完成了他们的复仇,可以专注于两周后在巴黎举行的决赛。利物浦是这场比赛的热门,但皇马肯定也有机会。

首先,就像我已经暗示过的,皇马已经没什么可打的了。上个星期天,我们在拉利加的比赛中又赢了——当时Tico在主场1比0击败了皇家马德里。客队,正如我所预料的,严重轮转了他们的阵容,他们的大多数球员甚至没有接近100%的精神集中。本泽马、恶毒和莫德里德已经确认不会在这里出场,预计还会有更多轮换。谁来为皇马进球?此外,阿拉巴、贝尔、库尔图伊斯、斯科、约维奇和马塞洛因伤缺阵。我甚至不认为皇马应该是首选,但博彩市场不同意。我们只需要加的斯拿下一分就能拿下拉利加的第八连胜!出现这种情况的几率超过65%。我们对Tico的投注确实非常好,因为在比赛前1-2小时,由于职业投注者和投注财团在他们身上投入了大量资金,他们获胜的几率在投注市场上崩溃了!皇马的态度确实是可耻的懒惰——例如,尽管他的球队0-1落后,卡塞米罗只是在球场上笑。其他一些球员似乎也在避免受伤,打得很懒,尤其是在防守方面。这里的许多球员或多或少都有同样的期望。最后,蒂科很容易就得了三分。我们也必须记住皇马并不像排名所反映的那么好。在预期得分方面,他们的得分比他们应该得到的多了15分。这是职业足球赌球者常用的统计数字。皇马几天前在主场6-0击败了垫底的莱万特,但我并不太重视这场比赛,因为莱万特已经降级,而且没有斗志。

事实上,排名在18-20的球队会被降级到西甲。加的斯目前以35分排名第17。马洛卡只少两分,所以加的斯在这里非常有动力。即使是一场平局也会给他们很大帮助。加的斯本赛季运气不佳,本应该比目前的35分多得7分。他们是一支相当小的球队,没有任何明星球员。赌博市场又一次低估了他们,我们要利用这一点!他们有很好的防守,作为一个团队发挥得很好,在组织中有伟大的精神。他们比排名第十的瓦伦西亚少进了50球。周四皇家社会,一支非常强大的球队,表现太好了,在主场3-0获胜,但球场上并没有那么不平衡。在此之前,他们在主场以3-0彻底击败了埃尔切。他们创造了17次得分机会——埃尔切有4次。他们也以7-2的比分赢得了进球,并且他们的进攻比埃尔切多出3.5倍!预期目标比为2.16 - 0.07。加的斯拥有热情的球迷——主场优势可观!

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