7th WINNER in a row? 德甲冲击7连红!
2022-05-14

Tapio

外籍分析师

德甲

05/14 21:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen host Freiburg for this last round of German Bundesliga, a top3 league in the world, at BayArena Saturday evening Beijing time. Bayer Leverkusen have played very offensive football for many seasons now and I expect many goals and a fine match for football fans to watch! Their defense can be shaky, and an organized Freiburg will surely get a lot of scoring chances here. The hosts have already secured a Champions League ticket for Champions League for next season. This is an excellent achievement for Swiss manager Gerardo Seoane’s relatively young team. The average age of the squad is just 24.9 years. Many young promising players have played in important roles this season. Last season Leverkusen were embarrassed UEFA Europa League by a Swiss Young boys and I’m not really sure if Leverkusen are good enough to succeed in Champions League.. They have indeed exceeded my and many other pro football bettors’ expectations this season, but I have not been quite as impressed by their performances as the betting market.. They are in my opinion over-valued on the betting market in this clash. We must also remember that they have grabbed 6 points more than they would have deserved in terms of expected points! This is one of the key statistics used by professional football bettors.

Leverkusen currently occupy the 3rd place with 61 points and will finish in this place no matter if they win or lose this match. They have surely celebrated the Champions League qualification and I suspect that they might not be 100% mentally and physically ready for this. They will surely rotate the squad as well.. There are similar elements to Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid last Sunday here. This was one of the picks we won lately. Some of players, especially Casemiro, were just laughing on the pitch despite the match not going well. Real Madrid had nothing to play for as they had already won LaLiga. Atletico, on the other hand, were super-motivated as they needed a win to secure a Champions League position (top4). We must remember that Champions League brings the clubs huge amounts of money and every top-class footballer wants to play there! Freiburg need to win this one to keep this dream alive! They are currently 2 points behind Leipzig that are in the 4th place. Leverkusen will surely try their best in front of loud home fans but the motivation factor here is huge and not given enough emphasis on the betting market. Before the season started one probably believed Freiburg to be this good and to still be in the fight for top4. Indeed, I have raised their power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class many times of the course of the Bundesliga season. They still do not get the respect they would deserve on the betting market. They were very unlucky in their most recent match at home against Union Berlin losing 1-4 and this seems to affect the odds too much. We must realize though that the U. Berlin are a good team and currently occupy the 6th place. The 1-4 final score is extremely misleading as Freiburg had 65% ball possession and recorded much more scoring attempts, total passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. My fans and I have a big chance to win again!


北京时间周六晚上,拜耳勒沃库森主场迎战弗赖堡,这是世界排名前三的德甲联赛。拜耳勒沃库森已经踢了很多个赛季的进攻性足球,我希望球迷能看到很多进球和精彩的比赛!他们的防守可能不稳定,有组织的弗莱堡肯定会在这里获得很多得分机会。主队已经获得了下赛季欧洲冠军联赛的门票。这对于瑞士主帅 Gerardo Seoane 相对年轻的球队来说是一个了不起的成就。球队的平均年龄仅为24.9岁。许多年轻有为的球员本赛季都扮演了重要的角色。上个赛季勒沃库森被一个瑞士小伙子弄丢了欧联杯,我不确定勒沃库森是否足以在冠军联赛中取得成功。他们本赛季确实超出了我和许多其他职业足球投注者的预期,但我没有那么深刻的印象他们作为博彩市场的表现.. 在我看来,他们在这场比赛被高估了。我们还必须记住,就预期得分而言,他们比应得的多获得了 6 分!这是职业足球博彩玩家使用的关键统计数据之一。

勒沃库森目前以61分位居第三,无论输赢都将在这个位置上完赛。他们肯定已经庆祝了欧冠资格,我怀疑他们可能没有 100% 的精神和身体为此做好准备。他们肯定也会轮换阵容。上周日马德里竞技队对阵皇家马德里队也有类似的元素。这是我们最近赢得的选秀权之一。一些球员,尤其是卡塞米罗,尽管比赛进行得并不顺利,但只是在球场上大笑。皇家马德里没有什么可玩的,因为他们已经赢得了西甲冠军。另一方面,弗赖堡非常有动力,因为他们需要一场胜利来确保欧冠位置(top4)。我们必须记住,冠军联赛给俱乐部带来了巨额资金,每个顶级足球运动员都想在那里踢球!弗莱堡需要赢得这场比赛才能保持这个梦想!他们目前落后排名第 4 的莱比锡 2 分。勒沃库森肯定会在喧闹的主场球迷面前尽力而为,但这里的动力因素很大,而且对投注市场的重视不够。在赛季开始之前,人们可能认为弗莱堡如此出色,并且仍在争夺前四名。事实上,我已经多次提高了他们的实力等级,这说明了球队在德甲赛季中的纯粹水平。他们仍然没有在博彩市场上得到应有的尊重。他们最近在主场以 1-4 输给柏林联合队的比赛非常不走运,这似乎对赔率影响太大。我们必须意识到,U.Berlin 是一支优秀的球队,目前排名第 6。这1-4 的最终比分极具误导性,因为弗赖堡拥有 65% 的控球率,并且记录了更多的得分尝试、总传球、进攻和危险进攻。预测弗赖堡不败!

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