Ekenäs IF vs Jaro

Ekenäs IF welcome visitors from Pietarsaari for this Finnish Ykkönen battle between two good teams at Tammisaaren Keskuskenttä. This is the second level of Finnish football. As a Finnish person I know Finnish football very well. My fans and I enjoyed very good results betting on this league last season and we have all the reasons to expect another very profitable season!

This is the fourth match for the hosts and third match for Jaro. Ekenäs currently occupy the 5th place with 4 points in the bank. Jaro have also grabbed 4 points and are in the third place in the standings with a better goal difference. I expect a pretty balanced match here. The home advantage in Ykkönen is lower than in most European leagues but is still there and Ekenäs are strong home team. With the home advantage the hosts are slim favorites here even though Jaro are a little better by raw class. Last season Jaro finished a little higher in the standings than the hosts and not much has changed since that. The hosts have lost some key players - Riku Selander, Zacharias Ekstöm, Aleksi Ollila and Olli Jakonen though. But on the other hand the new coach Mikko Manninen who joined the team from Veikkausliiga team FC Haka’s organization, has brought Nnaemeka Aniyamale, Yassin Daoussi from MP as well as Brazilian Bruno Miguel to the team. Swede Adam Larsson, a loan from Swedish Superettan, (Eskilstuna) is an interesting new player. Superettan is the second highest level of Swedish football and Sweden is a lot bigger football country than Finland. Striker Larsson is a capable goal scorer for this level and for in a key role when the hosts won their group in Suomen Cup earlier this year. Valdrim Rachica is also a player worth following.

In my opinion the betting market overemphasizes the meaning of the players who have left the team and does not respect the new players’ skills enough and, as result, clearly undervalue Ekenäs IF here. Jaro have beaten a small team PePO 3-0 away from home in April as big favorites, but the result is very misleading. The hosts had 52% ball possession and even recorded a little more shots on target and dangerous attacks! Overall, the match was pretty balanced and a not a great performance from Jaro! Before this they failed to beat a lowly team JäPS also away from home, again as clear favorites and had a lot of offensive problems.. They would have to improve to win today. The pick +0.5 goals on the hosts has a around 70% chance of winning as even a draw would be enough!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

Ekenäs IF欢迎来自Pietarsaari的游客参加这场芬兰Ykkönen战役，在Tammisaaren两个优秀团队之间的战斗Keskuskenttä。这是芬兰足球的二级水平。作为一个芬兰人，我非常了解芬兰足球。我的球迷和我都很享受上个赛季对这个联赛的赌注，我们有理由期待下一个非常有利可图的赛季!

这是东道主的第四场比赛，也是扎罗的第三场比赛。Ekenäs目前在银行以4分排名第五。扎罗也获得了4分，并以更好的净胜球排名第三。我认为这是一场势均力敌的比赛。Ykkönen的主场优势低于大多数欧洲联赛，但仍然存在，Ekenäs是一支强大的主场球队。由于主场优势，东道主在这里是微弱的热门，即使Jaro是一个更好的一点的原始类。上个赛季，扎罗的排名比东道主稍高，自那以后没有太大变化。东道主失去了一些关键球员——塞兰德、扎卡赖斯Ekstöm、奥利拉和贾科宁。但另一方面，新教练Mikko Manninen从Veikkausliiga队哈卡FC的组织加入了球队，带来了Nnaemeka Aniyamale, Yassin Daoussi从国会议员以及巴西人Bruno Miguel。瑞典人亚当·拉尔森，从瑞典Superettan租借而来，是一个有趣的新球员。Superettan是瑞典足球的第二高水平，瑞典是一个比芬兰大得多的足球国家。前锋拉尔森是一名很有能力的射手，在今年早些时候的索门杯小组赛中，他扮演了关键角色。Valdrim Rachica也是一个值得关注的球员。

在我看来，市场过分强调离开球队的球员的意义，没有足够尊重新球员的技能，因此，显然低估了Ekenäs IF。在四月份，Jaro在客场3-0击败了一支小型球队PePO，成为大热门，但这个结果很容易误导人。东道主有52%的控球率，甚至记录了更多的射门和危险的攻击!总的来说，这场比赛很平衡，Jaro的表现不是很好!在此之前，他们没能在客场击败一支排名靠后的球队JäPS，同样也是热门球队，而且在进攻上有很多问题。他们必须提高才能赢得今天的比赛。在主队上选择+0.5个进球有大约70%的机会获胜，因为即使是平局也足够了!