VILLARREAL VS SEVILLA

Disagree with the odds here.

Villarreal is having a very irregular campaign in La Liga, which means that they are sitting 8th on the table and 4 points below the Europa League. But they have an acceptable rest of the season, with Rayo Vallecano (nothing in play and in a bad run), Real Sociedad (6th and rival for the Europa League spot) and Barcelona (nothing in play).

This week they played a very demanding game against Liverpool in the Champions League. They had 5 days to rest, but coach Emery is forced to make some changes due to some injuries and also to prevent new ones, as this week they will play 3 days in 8 days. Four solid starters ended the game against Liverpool injured: midfielder Parejo, CB Albiol, RB Coquelin and their best player Gerard Moreno (9 goals).

Gerard Moreno is one of the best players in the league, and his absence (which is confirmed for this match) is a big blow for Villarreal. Furthermore, top scorer Danjuma (10 goals) has an injury too, along with another starter like Yeremi Pino who is the third topscorer of the team (6 goals).

There’s no info from the club about the players injured, only Gerard Moreno is confirmed. But with the rest with small injuries, there are two options: be reserves today in order to be available for this difficult week, or be starters without being at 100% and with the risk to make a bigger injury. In any case, 5 of that 6 players (Yeremi Pino, Gerard Moreno, Danjuma, Parejo, Albiol) are starters in the main lineup.

Surelly players must be exhausted after the match against Liverpool. In the mental and physical aspect. Recently we saw poor performances in La Liga after the Champions League in the midweek, like the defeat vs Alaves (worst team of the league) or Cadiz after Bayern and Juventus respectively.

On the other hand, Sevilla is also in bad form, but are still a very difficult team to beat and much more competitive than Villarreal. They have lost just 4 games this season in La Liga (the 2nd team with less defeats after Real Madrid with 3), which came against top teams: Real Madrid (twice), Barcelona and Granada in October.

Coach Lopetegui had many problems with injuries, and still some starters like Fernando or Martial are out, but other important players are back so the lineup will be very strong.

I see Sevilla as a much more solid team, who will have a better fit and much more quality with the absences that Villarreal has, especially Gerard Moreno. Sevila is a very difficult team to beat and I dont see Villarreal in the adequate circumstances to do it today.

A draw won’t be a bad deal here for both teams, hence the double chance for the better team in my opinion looks like a good bet.

不同意本场的指数。

比利亚雷亚尔在西甲的征程非常不规律，这意味着他们在积分榜上排名第 8，比欧联杯低 4 分。但他们本赛季的剩余时间可以接受，Rayo Vallecano（没有上场并且表现不佳），皇家社会（第六名和欧罗巴联赛席位的对手）和巴塞罗那（没有上场）。

本周他们在冠军联赛中与利物浦进行了一场非常艰苦的比赛。他们有5天的休息时间，但主帅埃梅里因为一些伤病不得不做出一些改变，同时也为了防止新的伤病，因为本周他们将在8天之内打3天。四名稳定的首发球员在对阵利物浦的比赛中受伤：中场球员帕雷霍、CB Albiol、RB Coquelin 和他们最好的球员杰拉德莫雷诺（9 球）。

杰拉德·莫雷诺是联盟中最好的球员之一，他的缺席（这场比赛得到了证实）对比利亚雷亚尔来说是一个很大的打击。此外，头号射手丹朱马（10 球）也有伤像耶雷米皮诺这样的首发球员，他是球队的第三名（6球）。

俱乐部没有关于受伤球员的信息，只有杰拉德·莫雷诺得到确认。但是对于其余的小伤，有两种选择：今天成为预备队，以便在这个艰难的一周有空，或者在没有 100% 的情况下成为首发，并有可能造成更大的伤病。无论如何，这 6 名球员中有 5 名（耶雷米·皮诺、杰拉德·莫雷诺、丹朱马、帕雷霍、阿尔比奥尔）是主力阵容中的首发球员。

在与利物浦的比赛之后，球员们肯定已经筋疲力尽了。在精神和身体方面。最近我们看到周中欧冠之后的西甲表现不佳，比如分别击败拜仁和尤文图斯之后对阵阿拉维斯（联赛最差球队）或加的斯。

另一方面，塞维利亚的状态也很糟糕，但仍然是一支很难击败的球队，而且比比利亚雷亚尔更具竞争力。他们本赛季在西甲仅输了 4 场比赛（与在皇家马德里（3）之后的失利更少，后者在 10 月对阵顶级球队：皇家马德里（两次）、巴塞罗那和格拉纳达。

主教练洛佩特吉有很多伤病问题，费尔南多或马夏尔等首发球员仍然缺阵，但其他重要球员都回来了，因此阵容将非常强大。

我认为塞维利亚是一支更加稳固的球队，在比利亚雷亚尔缺席的情况下，他们将拥有更好的状态和更高的素质，尤其是杰拉德·莫雷诺。塞维利亚是一支非常难以击败的球队，我认为比利亚雷亚尔在今天的情况下还没有做到这一点。 平局对两支球队来说都不是一件坏事，因此在我看来，客队塞维利亚不败看起来是一个不错的选择。

VERONA - MILAN

Interesting pick here.

Verona plays for nothing, as they are sitting 9th on the table, 4 points below European spots with 9 remaining to play (one against Milan and another one vs Lazio). Fiorentina (7th) is on a bad run but above Verona is Atalanta (with 2 more points) who is a strong team and for sure will fight for that spot. So we can agree that Verona doesn't have any target, as shown by their recent results: just 3 victories in the last 8 games.

They have a good squad with power upfront (61 goals scored, same as Milan) thanks to talented players Caprari and Barak, along with Gio Simeone who is the 4th topscorer of the Serie A, but they also have a very weak defense with 52 goals conceded.

Against top teams their performances have been good but the results not the same, due to their offensive mindset and their weak defense. Recently, Inter beat them 2:0, Napoli 1:2 and Juventus 2:0.

On the other hand, Milan is struggling lately to score goals, but are winning games thanks to their solid defense (the best of Serie A with 30 goals conceded). Are in great form, unbeaten in Serie A since January and fighting for the title with Inter Milan, who is just one point above with one more game played.

The team has huge ambition and motivation for the title, and having a difficult meeting vs Atalanta next week, the victory here against a team with nothing on play is mandatory. They just need 2 victories and one draw to be champions, so the most logical would be to win against Verona today and Sassuolo in the last round (both with nothing on play) and try to achieve a draw vs Atalanta next week.

In the recent months (since March) Milan has been the team of the big European leagues who has conceded less goals: just one in 8 games, conceded against a strong team like Lazio.

The plan for this match is clear: Milan will try to be solid at the back again, and wait patiently for their chances. They have a lot of quality upfront to convert them, with Giroud or Leao (who is in great form), while also Verona surely will concede due to their weak defense and lack of motivation/concentration.

Verona will play an offensive match and this should be perfect for Milan. Guests can’t lose points here if they want to win the title, and I believe they won’t do it. Furthermore, are the best visitors of the Serie A with just 1 away defeat and 12 victories in 17 games. 40 of the 77 points they have were won playing away, while also have scored 35 goals far from San Siro (and only 26 at home).

维罗纳没有动力，因为他们在积分榜上排名第 9，比欧洲排名低 4 分，还有 2场（一场对阵米兰，另一场对阵拉齐奥）。佛罗伦萨（第7）表现不佳，但在维罗纳之上是亚特兰大（多得2分），他们是一支强大的球队，肯定会为那个位置而战。所以我们可以同意维罗纳没有任何目标，正如他们最近的结果所示：在过去的 8 场比赛中只有 3 场胜利。

由于才华横溢的球员卡普拉里和巴拉克，以及意甲第 4 射手吉奥·西蒙尼，他们拥有一支实力强大的球队（61 球，与米兰相同），但他们的防守也很薄弱，只有 52 个进球承认。

面对顶级球队，他们的表现很好，但结果却不尽相同，因为他们的进攻心态和防守薄弱。近期，国米2:0击败他们，那不勒斯1:2和尤文图斯2:0。

另一方面，米兰最近在进球方面苦苦挣扎，但由于他们坚实的防守（意甲最佳，失球 30 球）。状态很好，自一月份以来在意甲联赛中保持不败，并与国际米兰争夺冠军，国际米兰仅领先一分，还有一场比赛。 球队对冠军有着巨大的野心和动力，下周对阵亚特兰大的比赛很艰难，在这里对阵一支没有任何比赛的球队的胜利是强制性的。他们只需要 2 胜 1 平就可以成为冠军，所以最合乎逻辑的做法是在今天战胜维罗纳和上轮战胜萨索洛（双方都没有上场比赛），并在下周与亚特兰大取得平局。

在最近几个月（自 3 月以来），米兰一直是欧洲各大联赛中失球较少的球队：在对阵拉齐奥这样的强队时，只有八分之一的失球。 这场比赛的计划很明确：米兰将再次稳固后防线，耐心等待机会。他们有很多前期的质量可以转换他们，吉鲁或莱奥（状态很好），而维罗纳也肯定会因为防守薄弱和缺乏动力/注意力而让步。

维罗纳将打一场进攻性的比赛，这对米兰来说应该是完美的。客人想夺冠，在这里不能丢分，我相信他们不会这么做。此外，在17场比赛中仅1次客场失利和12场胜利，是意甲最好的客队。他们在客场赢得了 77 分中的 40 分，而在远离圣西罗的地方也打进了 35 球（而在主场只有 26 球）。预测AC米兰客胜。