Burnley vs Aston Villa

Burnley welcome visitors from Birmingham for this English Premier League round 36 battle at the legendary Turf Moor. The big European leagues have a few rounds left and this is the situation in the best league on the planet as well. These final rounds are very interesting betting-wise as some teams still have a lot to play for – the championship, an Euro cup place or the most motivating one, avoiding relegation. A team “fighting for their life” can have up to 10% bigger chance of winning than in normal match say mid-season when playing against a team with nothing to play for. The data from the past 30 or so years proves this. However, of course the 10% does not apply to every match or team. Sometimes the clubs trying to avoid relegation are a mess and have a very bad team spirit and/ or the players do not respect the coach anymore. The situation for Burnley looked grim a few weeks ago but they have been “re-born” under the command of caretaker boss Mike Jackson, 48 and have amazingly won 3 matches in a row! They now have an excellent chance of playing at the highest-level next season! The players are super motivated and play great as a team. They have 34 points in the bank but that is only 2 points more than Everton who occupy the 18th place - which is in the relegation zone. The host will probably still need points..

Burnleu have not really changed their style of play, which is traditional, simple English football. Many fans and football analysts call this “ugly” and in a way it is – no short passing or fine individual tricks. This is, however, the only way for the limited team to grab points. They have an excellent chance to take at least a draw today against Villa who are safe in the 13th place with 40 points. The draw would bring my fans and me a winner with the hosts +0.5 goals handicap option. Moreover, Aston Villa are in bad shape and have won just one of their most recent 5 matches and have lost 3. They beat the lowly Norwich 2-0 at home last week, but this was not a convincing performance at all. Norwich even had 55% ball possession! Burnley have allowed just one goal in their latest 3 matches and a tough, low-scoring and physical battle is expected here in front of loud home fans. The visitors are of course a better team by raw class but the motivated hosts are slim favorites here!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

伯恩利欢迎来自伯明翰的游客参加在传奇的特夫摩尔球场举行的英超第36轮比赛。欧洲的大联赛还有几个回合，这也是这个星球上最好的联赛的情况。最后一轮是非常有趣的，因为一些球队仍然有很多东西要打——冠军，一个欧洲杯的席位，或者是最令人振奋的避免降级的。一支“为他们的生命而战”的球队，在与一支没有任何优势的球队比赛时，比在正常比赛中，比如赛季中期，获胜的几率要高出10%。过去30年左右的数据证明了这一点。然而，10%当然并不适用于每一场比赛或球队。有时候，那些试图避免降级的俱乐部是一团糟，团队精神很差，或者球员不再尊重教练。伯恩利的形势在几周前看起来很严峻，但他们已经在48岁的主教练迈克·杰克逊的带领下“重生”，并令人惊讶地取得了3连胜!他们下个赛季有极好的机会打最高水平的比赛!球员们都很有动力，表现得很好。他们在积分榜上有34分，但只比埃弗顿多2分，埃弗顿排在第18位，属于降级区。主持人可能还需要点。

伯恩勒并没有真正改变他们传统的、简单的英格兰足球风格。许多球迷和足球分析人士称这是“丑陋的”，在某种程度上确实如此——没有短传或出色的个人技巧。然而，这是有限的团队获得积分的唯一方法。他们今天有一个很好的机会至少和比利亚打平，比利亚以40分稳居第13位。平局将使我和我的球迷成为东道主+0.5个进球的优势。此外，阿斯顿维拉的状态很差，最近5场比赛只赢了一场，输了3场。上周他们在主场2-0击败了实力较弱的诺维奇，但这并不是一场令人信服的表现。诺里奇甚至有55%的控球率!伯恩利在最近的三场比赛中只丢了一个球，一场艰苦的、低分的、身体上的战斗预计将在主场球迷面前上演。客队当然是一支更好的球队，但积极的东道主在这里是很受欢迎的!