I am happy to see the handicap and odds have not been touched to the right extent for them to change to -0.25 from the current 0.

Hertha Berlin is one of the short-listed bets for me this weekend and while I had no time to post a few of the other favorites from Friday due to a criminal lack of free time, it is a relief to see Hertha still available.

The principles to take them on the current handicap are quite self-explanatory. Hertha seems to have finally done something right when they switched to Felix Magath as the manager. The notorious German specialist took them out from the direct relegation zone and put them into a really comfortable position with 2 rounds remaining in the regular season. The main thing he has managed to change for Hertha is psychology. When you’re thrown on to the wrecked ship this is, perhaps, the only thing you can actually do - is change the mentality in the dressing room and make the squad feel united again. While not showing any major improvement in terms of football quality, Hertha’s took a huge step forward in the way they perceive themselves. After getting rocked by Bayer and Union Berlin, Magath’s team pulled off back to back wins against Augsburg and Stuttgart (both to nil!) and took a 1-1 draw away vs. Arminia while being the better team for greater time periods.

The home game against Mainz will be like a final for Hertha, where a win (or even a draw!) would guarantee they stay up in the Bundesliga for the next season. Some would argue that Hertha still have another match left in case of failure here, so the importance of the Saturday clash is not as high…But the trick here is very simple - Hertha must go to Dortmund to face Borussia on the final matchday. Thus the risk they would put themselves into by not taking points vs. Mainz is really high.

Visitors Mainz are not chasing any tournament goals nor are they a decent side on the road this season. What’s more, they are in fact the 2nd worst (!) team on the road behind relegated Furth, with a mediocre record of 2-2-12 and 15-33 (!!) goal difference.

Hertha will eat ground and fight for every ball like there is no tomorrow and this makes the given odds super appealing to me.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

柏林赫塔(Hertha Berlin)是我这个周末的候选名单之一，虽然从周五开始，由于空闲时间严重不足，我没有时间发布其他一些最受欢迎的作品，但看到赫塔仍然有空还是让我松了一口气。

应对当前障碍的原则是不言自明的。赫塔似乎终于做了一件正确的事情，他们换了菲利克斯·马加特担任主教练。这位声名狼藉的德国专家把他们从直接降级区带了出来，让他们在常规赛还有2轮的时候处于一个非常舒适的位置。他为赫塔改变的主要是心理。当你被扔到失事的船上时，也许，你唯一能做的就是改变更衣室里的心态，让球队再次团结起来。虽然在足球质量方面没有任何重大进步，但赫塔在自我认知方面迈出了一大步。在受到拜耳和柏林联盟的冲击后，马加特的球队连续赢下了奥格斯堡和斯图加特(都是零比零!)，并在客场1-1战平阿米尼亚，同时在更长的时间里表现更好。

主场对美因茨的比赛就像赫塔的决赛，一场胜利(甚至一场平局!)就能保证他们下赛季能在德甲保持领先。有些人会说赫塔还有一场比赛，如果在这里失利，那么周六的比赛就没那么重要了……但是这里的技巧很简单——赫塔必须在最后比赛日去多特蒙德迎战巴萨。因此，他们在与美因茨的比赛中不得分的风险是非常高的。

客队美因茨本赛季没有追求任何联赛进球，也不是一支像样的球队。更重要的是，他们实际上是第二差的球队，落后于降级的Furth，他们的进球数只有2-2-12和15-33。

赫塔会像没有明天一样争抢每一个球，这使得给定的赔率对我来说非常有吸引力。